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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. Considering it has us nearly 7-10 degrees above other guidance I think its safe to disregard it.
  2. Next storm may continue 6z's solution of having some ice before a switch to rain.
  3. Agree on this, the QDF field just doesn't have the same northward extent but its jackpot zones stay around the same.
  4. This appears to impact the Thursday storm more, and FWIW makes it less energetic though not enough to save us
  5. Surface wise yes H5 looks markedly different out west though. No idea what it means, thats for someone smarter than me to parse.
  6. NAM seems like it would keep precip around for an extended time even after wave two, which may lend itself to a decent snow to ice event before the thermals are completely destroyed by the Thursday storm
  7. Wonder if part of that reduction is from the "storm" today no longer being counted?
  8. Maybe I'm misremembering 6z but that seems somewhat significantly souther
  9. Yo @psuhoffman I know it is the long range GFS, but is this a legitimate possibility of the upcoming pattern. Just asking because we have seen something like this the past couple years...
  10. Had light snow with sleet for around an hour, no accumulation but very pretty
  11. Think it may be time to start a new thread on this one and try to use the second thread revival trick of last year…
  12. I cannot wait till the line of threads each named PSU storm 1, 2, and so on come Feb 20th
  13. Well, for those so suddenly worried about suppression I'm pretty sure the CMC will be too far the other way
  14. I mean, I would say this is bad at all south of the Potomac
  15. It is getting squashed more by a piece of vorticity in southern Canada that was further north on the 18z run, along with being weaker in general
  16. It also appears to be colder, though I do wonder if what the GFS is showing right now with weaker pressure out west will end up better setting us up for the storm after this thread
  17. Generally seems a little weaker out west but may change
  18. Well I suppose the alternative would be making a week long running thread with different OBS threads getting spun off it, though that sounds messy but would allow us to separate out this week from the PSU pattern.
  19. Not sure when the last time a majority of the NWS has had frozen mentioned in it
  20. Surprisingly still below freezing near Reston with .5 of rain overnight trees are very saggy
  21. ICON is very nice, keeps everything cold while not having us out of the best precip
  22. My bad, I meant to say all aboard the hype train! I guess Ji must've gotten into my account somehow. In all serious though was just trying to mitigate the "its so over" cycle when the models only show a foot before the ultimate comeback.
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