Jt17

Thanks! .

Where do you find this radar? .

How's this working out for ya? .

If the city can get to 4 PM all snow would be epic .

lol that's where it was 45 minutes ago before it retreated. .

This is false. Stop trolling. .

Well if the messenger is going to make stuff up and mislead people I'll at least call them out. No models show 3-5 for the city. The worst and clear outlier meaning the one you should be considering the least even show 6 inches on the very low end. On the high end some of the hi-res models are showing up to 15 inches with the sleet line retreating after about 2 hours back to snow. Most models including the out of range global models settle the middle around 9-11 inches. You can look through every model pivotal for free. Plus they've been trending snowier all day. Not the other way around! .

Hi-res models now in range thing that's ludicrous. .

Short term models presenting the possibility of the sleet line retreating after a few hours and bringing a few hours of good snow at the end. If it never turns back to snow it might finish with 7-9 inches, but if it does might get 10-12 inches .

Euro and GFS going in opposite directions. Surprising nobody seems to riled up about it. I think 10+ is on the table still for NYC .

Ukie a little better. .

Hmm I think it doesn't make it to nyc here - in fact stays south for 8 more hours. .

Best case. Would have a lot of happy folks in here. .

I like 8-12 now with the most recent ticks south. .

Yea I mean it just did 30 miles on 1 run. 30 miles more and it will look like everything else. Then the main differences just become if the intensity - if Reggie is right everybody will be happy. .

That's like 30 miles man. .

First tick back to the rest, hopefully it went overboard with the warm nose and falls in line with the rest of the guidance. .

Looks about 10 miles north than 12z. Still would be great .

Very close to better. Euro AI better, most short range keep it snow longer or entirely. I think small changes are possible that can make a big diff in totals. .

Pretty much mostly snow just like Ukie.. makes ya wonder. .

12z was snowier than 6z from overnight actually. It looks basically the same and is 100 miles south of the NAM .

Looks like it's papa NAM. All the other short range guidance says this look is 75 miles overdone not buying it. .

Can somebody post F27 from Fv3 vs. NAM. It's a wild difference. .

It sniffed out the warm nose idea first, but it also has a tendency to be amped an overdo things. Let's hope that's the case. .

NAM really hates this storm .