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Everything posted by Northof78
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Small flakes but very dense snow, moderate overall, already a quick coating/0.25” OTG -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow has started here... -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
New nam back to an inch of total QPF for most of the region with both waves, and a nice hit from wave 1 alone -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Warnings up for most of PHL zones.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM now has long duration storm though...not ending till Fri night... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sounds like EURO would be 5-9" if that cold/ratios even with 0.4" - 0.6" QPF.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hate to say it, but this is one of the more obvious outcome storms seen in a while 6-9" seems very high confidence for most of metro regardless of model almost -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS prolonged, and starts early, just a long duration 80% to 100% snow storm for metro....all models get us to 6" - 10", just in different ways... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Again, every model has been very steady over past 1-2 days with a 6-10" storm for the metro, a little mix after the main show. NAM continues this.,.. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like 6-9” for most in the forum...maybe a little light mix after main thump of precip -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM is a lot of snow for majority of forum...9-13"; although once north of 84 gets iffy with confluence and tight gradient -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM is a big hit...all snow through the first wave; with 1"+ QPF -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM would be an epic thump with Kuchera totals of around 8-10" within 6 or so hours starting early Thu morning...then tapers to light snow after part 1, with another piece of the storm likely to follow (that could be likely sleet to snow) on top -
Did not lose much snow at all last night, holding in mid 30s, even if we, for a time pop into 40s later today, without rain, should be some melting, but nothing that bad, should be there strong for Thursday...
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yup, per Kuchera, all Metro is 5-8" with sleet/ice afterwards, maybe some rain LI and coast, overall nice run -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very high chance this is a snow to mix storm, staying near/below for of the metro at this point.... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
way early for the NAM, but it has had the hot hand lately....looks quite snowy/cold/south for Thursday -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
18z GFS still has a cutter end game, but very impressive front end thump for all, prob 4-8/5-10 -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs looks 4-8" thump... -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Almost all models now, have a nice thump of snow at least to start -
OBS and nowcast mainly midnight - Noon Thursday Feb 11
Northof78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1.5" final here -
Couple flurries this morning from this one...
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