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Ephesians2

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Everything posted by Ephesians2

  1. Ephesians2
    Well... the ICON is definitely a tick north and a healthier precip field at 54
  2. Ephesians2
    That pattern doesn't look that warm to me - could be wrong though. It looks like a neutral PNA and negative EPO. Also, the temp departures are near normal for early March on the GEFS.
  3. Ephesians2
    UKMET is a total miss... barely clips southern Hampton Roads... nothing anywhere else.
  4. Ephesians2
    It's early, and I am just cribbing from the main thread because they are getting it quicker than Pivotal, but it doesn't seem like the Euro will be fully caving to the other models for 00z.
  5. Ephesians2
    It does come up the coast after that, but doesn't really get going enough until it is well offshore. Definitely in line with trends we have been seeing tonight.
  6. Ephesians2
    UKMET is losing most of the northern component to the low - it's a weaker and further south storm for sure. Surface low in the Gulf of Mexico at 96. It'll be a moderate hit for Richmond and Hampton Roads though.
  7. Ephesians2
    UKMET is definitely less amped than 12z (which was the furthest north and west, so that might not mean much). Also seeing the PV significantly south of 12z at 81.
  8. Ephesians2
    sorry, was looking at 10:1 so understated totals
  9. Ephesians2
    GFS is still pretty progressive, dry, and fast. The jackpot of 6-10" is from Richmond to the southern Delmarva. Looks like it's slightly better than the last run for Hampton Roads.
  10. Ephesians2
    Not seeing huge changes on the GFS out to 84
  11. Ephesians2
    If I am not mistaken, every single model has the biggest snow in 6-7 years for Central VA.
  12. Ephesians2
    I think there's a model we forgot to check. Totally real guys.
  13. Ephesians2
    2/11/2025 - 4.0 (3.25" snow + 0.75" sleet) Total: 9.0"
  14. Ephesians2
    3.25" in Lynchburg, VA with light snow.
  15. Ephesians2
    Starting to come down nicely in Lynchburg.
  16. Ephesians2
    Honestly close to what I'm expecting. This feels like a clone of the early Jan event.
  17. Ephesians2
    How much for Lynchburg?
  18. Ephesians2
    From the main thread. Of course, they were not happy about it, but looks like an improvement for Central VA. Hopefully the NAM improves as well.
  19. Ephesians2
    We aren't really losing the big storms, just the light and moderate ones. That seems like the real problem. There have been much larger intervals without an 18"+ or 12"+ storm. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter_storm-pr
  20. Ephesians2
    https://x.com/PaulRoundy1/status/1887466049462739029
  21. Ephesians2
    All rain down here at 33 degrees, but just woke up to some LOUD thunder and lightning.
  22. Ephesians2
    Probably Tropical Storm Debby.
  23. Ephesians2
    Where is that chart on the NWS website? Thanks!
  24. Ephesians2
    NAM made a big jump North for the Sunday storm.
  25. Ephesians2
    https://x.com/webberweather/status/1880316868277465119
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