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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. WinterWxLuvr
    Time for the new thread. Good luck all!
  2. WinterWxLuvr
    11/15 - 7” _______ 2018-2019 - 7”
  3. WinterWxLuvr
    Near my house
  4. WinterWxLuvr
    Not home so have to go off of neighbors measure ... he says 7 inches and he’s one to actually use a ruler.
  5. WinterWxLuvr
    Yep. Wasn’t it just about 10 days ago that the prevailing theory was that we would be in a Ridge/warm period by now?
  6. WinterWxLuvr
    34/21
  7. WinterWxLuvr
    Thought the Mid Atlantic Forum Algorithm says to take the snowiest solution and run with it.
  8. WinterWxLuvr
    Is there really an 18z euro?
  9. WinterWxLuvr
    Thank you.
  10. WinterWxLuvr
    Just go all in. We don't need the rest
  11. WinterWxLuvr
    I'll bet watches are coming before this day ends.
  12. WinterWxLuvr
  13. WinterWxLuvr
    Can you post a link? Thanks
  14. WinterWxLuvr
    Not seeing any mention of the Euro, but from knowyoursky it looks pretty good. Can anybody with better access comment?
  15. WinterWxLuvr
    To be honest, I usually only look at where I live. I think most of us do that. My expectation is that this resembles Dec 26, 2013 for most of the area. That storm was a different setup as it was a TN valley storm that jumped to the coast, and a more pronounced CAD, but I think this storm may be very similar in the weather that we see.
  16. WinterWxLuvr
    It may happen that way, but I do not agree at all that that is all we may see. This has the potential to be a good winter storm. This is a much bigger threat IMO than Oct of 2011 was. And we are already midway through November. Good trends and a good chance.
  17. WinterWxLuvr
    With the Euro and Ukie on board and trending better, I have a hard time believing at this point that we aren't looking at a significant winter event in parts of the area.
  18. WinterWxLuvr
    This IS early but not exactly typical IMO. It has been pretty cold leading up to this. If it does start as snow, and as early in the day as it is, I could see this being able to lay down accumulating snow right off the bat.
  19. WinterWxLuvr
    My experience is that any situation where CAD is involved the trend is usually colder as it nears.
  20. WinterWxLuvr
    That's an impressive EPS map for a storm only 3 days away.
  21. WinterWxLuvr
    Dewpoints on the GFS are in the low 20's and the upper teens on the NAM at the onset of precip with actual temps in the low to mid 30's. I haven't looked at any temp profiles, but at least in the beginning, temps support frozen precip of some form. I'm looking at it out here of course.
  22. WinterWxLuvr
    Another truism at least for me is that precious seems to always move in and out a bit quicker than modeled in these setups
  23. WinterWxLuvr
    This seems to be a bit of a CAD setup. One truism is that low level cold is always under modeled and usually modeled too quickly to leave.
  24. WinterWxLuvr
    21 at KOKV this morning. My battery is gone in my sensor. Normally 1-2 below KOKV.
  25. WinterWxLuvr
    How often does BWI have higher totals than Dulles?
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