WinterWxLuvr

I think December can be a hard month to judge by avg temp. You can have a month that is predominantly cold or seasonal and have the avg temp skewed by a few days of anomalous warmth. December can crank out some pretty big temp departures in the positive direction. So saying an above normal December doesn’t necessarily mean it couldn’t also be a mainly wintry month

Can we lock this in Feb 29?

When talk breaks out in October about the PV, it could signal a long season

The biggest difference I see is basically the ridge position over Alaska. Across the continental US the flow is very similar. Both look like an opportunity of some southern stream energy to flow along the southern border into an east coast trough. Not a bad setup imo. I think people also tend to be swayed by the colors on those maps. If I can read a map scale properly, that height anomaly over the se amounts to about 50 feet above normal for that pressure level. Doubt that that is significant. The flow looks good on both. Now what it might evolve into is another story and one I wouldn’t even venture a guess about.

Well, my neighbor and I did

Well, we did have a pretty good snowstorm last year on Nov 15. Not impossible.

KOKV with several obs of 32

Not to mention that the high/low avg method of calculating a daily mean temp is wacked in the first place. Especially so now that we have all this technology available and could easily calculate a one min avg with 1440 data points every day.

37 lowest reported from KOKV

This is about as stable of a weather pattern as I’ve seen.

BWI 10/27 DCA 11/17 IAD 10/21 RICH 10/27 Tie: 9.11”

Funny how people who you never hear mention weather will find a way to tell you how devastatingly cold and snowy the upcoming winter will be. They have to hear that somewhere. Ill admit though, I hope they’re right.

“Pro Forecaster”

How are those forecasts busts coming? LOL

It's brutal in Winchester (KOKV). 34/16. I hear they are doing heat rescues. And it's cloudy.

I would think that the water around DC matters in the early fall too. I don't know what the temp of that water is, but I imagine it's still pretty warm.

May be some mega busts here. If you believe some of the models I'm seeing.

It's been a bad few years for Friv.

LOL, if humans were actually as smart as we think they are. Keep dreaming.

That would likely be the death of us all.

Does this mean 2017 is less than 2016 by 330k or vice versa?

Unless I'm just not reading that right, it sure looks as if the concentration level is much higher across the board with the exception of Hudson Bay.

Oh boy

Can anyone give me the link that will take me where this link used to take me? It leads to Twitter now. https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop.ver1/vishop-extent.html