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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. Possibly all true. But you don’t think I’m really studying the weather East of I81 do you? LOL.
  2. This isn’t one of those times when a model is completely on its own. The CMC, the JMA, the ICON all have somewhat of a similar evolution.
  3. Honestly it’s been spitting out some wonky looks since yesterday. It’s almost behaving like a springtime cutoff low. It just meanders around for about a day and then just says eff it, I’m shooting east.
  4. I don’t trust this at all, not for one second. It’s gonna take multiple runs on multiple models before I’m even thinking about it.
  5. Snow flurries here. Who likes the bare ground, cold and wind? Raise your hands
  6. That euro solution is almost as wacky as yesterday at 12z. Parks a low near Memphis for nearly 24 hours then in one 6 hour period moves it ese about 300 miles. Don’t know about the rest of you but my confidence level is high
  7. 11/? - T 12/11 - T 12/16 - 1.5” 1/7 - 4” 1/8 - 1/4” 1/18 - 1/2”
  8. I think snow maps and snow probability maps are the most useless tool available
  9. How so? At 144 it’s in the fla panhandle, at 150 it’s in western ky. There’s no low in NC at that time. Maybe this is a transfer of sorts but I don’t see that the low moved to NC.
  10. It takes a low from the panhandle of Florida straight north to northern Indiana.
  11. Where’s the cold air when we need it. Just hope for a colder look going forward.
  12. New thread time guys. I haven’t started one for a while. Maybe some luck, who knows.
  13. 2012-2013 wasn’t half bad here. Good around Christmas and then a really good March, over 20 that month
  14. What I’m saying is look where the mean had it at day 10 and compare that to where it actually was. Pretty good imo. And when you say it was heading into you are basically extrapolating it out to days 20+
  15. Your looking at that mean curve, skewed obviously by outliers. Not unexpected past day 10. Fine let’s look at its 10 day forecast.
  16. Considering that that was a forecast for Jan 15, that yesterday was Jan 16, and the MJO position was this .... I’d say it worked out pretty damn good And yes if you follow the mean curve it didn’t die and curve, but the general movement for a 15 day forecast was great.
  17. Would need to see before 1950 to make conclusions.
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