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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. ICON wants nothing to do with the weekend. It’s really amazing to look at the run to run differences at h5.
  2. I’ll play devil’s advocate. We have no way to know whether the lows in the gl exist in conjunction with the coastal lows without looking at every member.
  3. Probably couldn’t be worse than 12z. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see that one blow up. Might blow up into a rainer, but still the potential for a big storm is there imo.
  4. For all intents and purposes every one of these maps you post, no offense to you, look exactly the same.
  5. 6 hours of timing could bring the weekend storm to the forefront of all the discussion.
  6. If these pieces end up timed better this could easily end up a big storm ... of some sort
  7. I at least expected a comment or two on how the euro, the model that makes only graceful and small changes, went from this to this in 12 hours. I found that to be more than a little humorous.
  8. Yeah I just looked. When that low was in the gulf there was a 1036 sitting right over North Dakota. LOL, way different.
  9. I can’t actually believe I’ve seen 93 mentioned a couple of times. If I remember correctly that thing had a massive high pressing down from Canada with temps well below normal. I was only joking when I mentioned it lol.
  10. Let’s just dive that northern stream energy in, not too early, keep a little blocking and let’s do March 93 in January
  11. We really should have posted these daily to just show how bad they really are.
  12. LOL at the despair over that gfs run. That thing is ripe with possibilities. If you’re looking for a locked in definitive outcome, try your local psychic.
  13. The euro will make everyone smile. But I’ll be checking it out with the sun up.
  14. I’d bet that you could stat any year, any 16 day window from mid December to mid February and you would get a 30-40% chance of a 3” snow.
  15. The big ones lock in early. That’s what they say in Bermuda anyway
  16. That’s what I’m trying to explain to you. We had three snow events last year here that exceeded 6” (if memory serves). November, early January, and one late, I think late Feb. So yeah, I had to pull out my shovel.We also had a few small events and a decent ice storm. We also had about a 6” snow in March of 2017 and another in March of 2018. It was pretty good IMO. But like I said, location matters.
  17. Last year wasn’t a bad winter. I’m speaking of course here. Not for me to pass judgement on any other locale.
  18. GFS looks active. Close to being cold enough. I’d actually prefer a look that’s close but not quite vs big hits because we know the big hit solutions usually change to nfw. I know it means that our cherished snowfall maps and snow probability maps don’t look nice and shiny but it doesn’t mean that we are in a hopeless situation.
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