WinterWxLuvr
-
Posts
29,279 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
-
Shocking
-
What do the probability maps show? EPS , of course
-
Well, we got nothing when they did look good, so we have that going for us
-
Haha. Are they ever.
-
Are we going to mention that nobody really cares? Yes! Ok
-
New thread guys. Good luck
-
2012-2013 wasn’t half bad here. Good around Christmas and then a really good March, over 20 that month
-
What I’m saying is look where the mean had it at day 10 and compare that to where it actually was. Pretty good imo. And when you say it was heading into you are basically extrapolating it out to days 20+
-
Your looking at that mean curve, skewed obviously by outliers. Not unexpected past day 10. Fine let’s look at its 10 day forecast.
-
Considering that that was a forecast for Jan 15, that yesterday was Jan 16, and the MJO position was this .... I’d say it worked out pretty damn good And yes if you follow the mean curve it didn’t die and curve, but the general movement for a 15 day forecast was great.
-
Would need to see before 1950 to make conclusions.
-
But it’s such a consistent model?
-
I’d say because that low is so close. Move it East by 50 miles different story
-
I agree. With a good pattern upstream we can get lucky even if the Atlantic is bad.
-
Each day it makes it closer to 8 before it starts to try and loop. Get it all the way in 8 and then loop back through 7 probably would be ok.
-
Yeah I agree. Get some snow cover and it can get as cold and dry as it wants
-
-
Low position keeps improving on gefs for Saturday.
-
Not out yet on PSU but I can’t wait to see the low positions on the gefs
-
Truly am pretty busy though. Seriously, any gefs output available yet?
-
LOL, c’mon guys. I was throwing shade on people who were downplaying this storm waiting on a better one. No way we should ever look pst a threat especially the type that is as reliable as anything we have for delivering winter weather.
-
I’m busy at work and can’t look much. How’s the next storm looking? I’m more interested in it than this one.
-
You won’t get a transfer that helps our region unless you get that low into about Tennessee. I don’t see that happening right now.
-
Diggin is a good word. Need that confluence to keeping shoving that low east.
-
A w to e move will almost certainly help on the front end precip amounts. Overall I think the last few runs are at the least encouraging. Several ensemble members are getting close to getting that low in a good spot.
