Jump to content


  • Posts

  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by StormfanaticInd

  1. Of course with a la nina possibly coming on there is a potential we could torch this winter if the southeast ridge is too strong
  2. You are always so negative. Lighten up. Lol smh
  4. The fall weather pattern can often give hints to the winter pattern but not always
  5. This pattern in the winter would be active
  6. This storm could be a sign of things to come. One can only hope
  7. Would have definitely been a storm to remember
  8. Big time pattern change underway. Much cooler weather on the way
  9. System this week is giving me winter vibes
  10. Noticing blocking tendencies on the gefs already. Interesting
  11. I'm used to getting weenied. I agree. Very electrical storms for September
  12. This fall is show signs of being active severe weather wise. Something we haven't seen in a while
  13. I think we end up seeing an enhanced risk for tomorrow. Pretty strong Windfield for this event
  14. KIWX An upper level trof will amplify over the eastern CONUS downstream of an anomalously strong upper ridge over the North American Rocky Mountains. Temperatures will become briefly warmer Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front associated with the amplifying trof. GFS has been consistent the past 4 (6hr) runs with mass fields and general timing of the front. The 00Z GFS still favors a cold front passage from late Tuesday afternoon into early Tuesday night providing a diurnally favorable time for convection. Low level theta E will surge northeast in a narrow band during the day Tuesday. In addition to the advection of a modified elevated mix layer (EML), mid levels winds from 50 to 75 knots and thermal profiles of CAPE values reaching 1500 to 2000 J/Kg indicate favorable chances for damaging thunderstorm winds. The CIPS analogs continues to support chances for severe weather as very strong mid level winds develop. Have been keeping a watch on an analog from 9/10/1992 which matches mass fields quite well and portends in a severe direction
  15. From KIND A closed upper low and associated surface low are progged to track through the northern Great Lakes Region on Tuesday. This will be a quick moving system though with any shower/thunderstorm chances out of the area by Tuesday night. However, thunderstorms will be a threat on Tuesday afternoon/evening as the environment destabilizes in the warm sector of the surface low. Southwest surface flow will push daytime highs back into the mid to upper 80s for a day with dew points in the 60s. With the moderate instability and forcing, would not rule out isolated strong thunderstorms at times.
  • Create New...