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BYG Jacob

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Everything posted by BYG Jacob

  1. Hard to 100% tell, but that look more like a solid, protected pocket of moisture. Don't see any dry air left in the storm
  2. Looks like Helene will close off a much smaller eye than that huge one it attempted last night.
  3. 991.8, and Helene is pulling away from the buoy
  4. Pressure down to 993 mb on buoy 42056, and it didn’t get the center
  5. Getting tugged north by that blowup on the northern side of the nascent eye
  6. Pressure at roughly 996 on that buoy, and dual rotating towers are going up.
  7. https://x.com/Mary_reports/status/1808626236450877750 Tornado confirmed in Tucson
  8. I’m not going to discount it entirely this time. Euro is only showing 20 knots of shear at worst. Big if though
  9. This will be tracking with an ULAC, just something to keep an eye on
  10. Africa Standing Wave likely to take hold through July soon.
  11. You're right, that looks more like the usual CAG mess. Hopefully it stays like that. Taking a look at upper level, it looks like the models show the subtropical jet bend and then align directionally with the storms direction as it moves north. I would assume that's why the models show the storm tighten up. This one won't be chugging dry air like a lot of June storms, so the jet needs to decapitate whatever moves up into the GoM.
  12. That doesn't look like the usual June mess. Looks like its environment may be more favorable than usual
  13. Another big tornado is going to drop soon
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