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BYG Jacob
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Everything posted by BYG Jacob
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The dry air is not being pushed into the core or eyewall of the storm. That would require shear, the hurricane will moisten the part of the storm the dry air got into with no issue. It's actually a bad thing in this case, because it means convective banding won't be able to wrap around and start an ERC.
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Absolutely not.
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Hard to say, that measurement isn't from the eye or CoC. It could very likely be lower, I don't think we'll get a definitive answer until the storm pulls away from Cuba
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Pressure dropping like a rock
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Looks like a pair of rotating hot towers on the last couple of IR frames. One of them rotating through the shear vector. Might be time to head to the happening bunker.
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Just the two most important factors that determine how bad a hurricane is.
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980.8 on the first pass
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Very healthy structure. Not something I wanted to see.
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Winds about 50 knots and pressure about 995 MB.
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Here we go again.
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About that shear
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Nothing to shred apart when a storm begins its passage as a mess.
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TUCSON GOT RAIN
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Hi Bret
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That supercell over Peru looks like this;
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No TOR-E or PDS on that?
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Eye has contracted to 20 nm since the onset of the ERC yesterday. Ian won’t be a borderline category 5 for long.
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Just give it a bit for a fresh convective burst to start rotating
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Fixed! Might end up being an EPAC hurricane which would be interesting.
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I don’t know how. Can one of the mods do it?
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That's not something you see everyday for a June storm
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Really enjoying the active monsoon so far
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