jdj5211
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Everything posted by jdj5211
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18Z Icon...wide right
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Question for the Mets in here....if the northern stream slows down and amplifies would we still get a significant snowstorm without phasing with the southern stream? Or is this a southern stream makes the difference type storm?
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Via SnowGoose - I got a bunch of texts about the NAVGEM. It still does usually end up more progressive than other models. I think that was just an off run but its interesting, if it continues to be that amped up I've seen cases where that ends up being an indicator other models move north or west
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Yep...OTS...
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Euro looks slightly better....not sure it gets there though....
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just as many wide right as there are tucked into the coast.....can still go either way
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UKMET swing and a miss
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shows a 988mb low near the benchmark and a bunch of storm cancel posts go up.....you guys are too funny
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Best post of this entire thread....hard to argue that data.....
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someone keep an eye on 18z Euro....let's see what we got!
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I think at this point we can agree there will be a phased system coming out of the gulf....the question remains does it ride the coast and if so, how close? or does it just slide out to sea...the next 24-48 hours of runs will begin to paint the picture one way or the other....fun times ahead in here!
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Low is way deeper than previous runs 990s before it even hits the coast...she also crawls up the coast....the weenie maps will be insane on this one lol
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coming up the coast....monster run....
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18Z GFS bomb incoming....
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0Z GFS looks to miss the phase.....
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
jdj5211 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
that precip shield just gets flattened like a pancake.... -
Much slower than the GFS.....
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this was almost too tucked into the coast....would want it where the 12Z gfs tracked the low
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Remember, the most historic storms in our area are usually sniffed out well in advance with a pretty decent model consensus in the leading week. Would love for the Euro to start to jump on board but no doubt there is a very significant threat for a KU event
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I'd give up the next 3 winters for that map to verify exactly as displayed lol.....
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
jdj5211 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This one's over folks....on to the next one... -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
jdj5211 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0Z NAM keeps the entire storm from CNJ on southward....a flake doesn't even fly in N NJ/NYC -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
jdj5211 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
different storm but look at this monster coming out of the Gulf for next weekend.....
