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Intensewind002

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Everything posted by Intensewind002

  1. Why would that happen? Brown ocean effect from it's own rainfall?
  2. Using normalized costs, the list is Katrina, Andrew, Maria, Ida, Sandy, etc.
  3. Man the new eye is big, has to be at least like 40-50 miles wide
  4. I thought shear was supposed to ramp up big time by late tonight? If Ian doesn’t close off the new eyewall by then, the shear is going to inject a ton of dry air and erode away the southern periphery of the hurricane. Or so I would think…
  5. It might’ve been Matthew, they had like the same track except dorian was way stronger
  6. Well who would’ve thought this storm was gonna reach its peak before Cuba
  7. How long until twitter is filled with tweets saying: “(government official) says to write your social security number on your arm if you don’t evacuate.”?
  8. Is there any off chance that Ian could not make it to major hurricane status? If so how would that effect the storms future track?
  9. I’ve been thinking that this storm could have a lifecycle similar to 2002’s Hurricane Lili, but with a landfall a bit further east, they both occurred during the same time period too
  10. I think i remember that, was kinda weird where like it would calm slightly between cells. And then after like a five minute break another light to moderate shower would move over and slam us with hurricane force wind gusts.
  11. I found this on the CHC site for Cape Breton: Strong category-1 hurricane force winds of 100 gusting to 140 km/h at exposed locations except 140 gusting to 160 km/h at the coast with surge of 1.8 to 2.4 m and dangerous waves from 11 to 15 m from Hurricane Fiona are expected.
  12. How exactly does a phase between a tropical cyclone and a trough happen? Can someone explain it to me?
  13. Hurricane Lili might be a decent analog for this storm
  14. That 18z gfs track was really similar to Edna from the same year
  15. Convection is like a full 5 degrees Latitude farther east than the center of circulation at this point. Center reformation a possibility?
  16. No storm will ever beat Hurricane Barry from a few years back in terms of ugliness, that thing was literally just a big rain band with literally no convection over or north of the center. How it managed to attain hurricane strength is a mystery of the universe considering I've seen 40 kt tropical storms that looked better
  17. I remember laughing at your prediction (in a friendly way lol) but then thinking “Imagine he’s right? What a coup that would be.” And here we are, with a 4/0/0 season so far. I had 21/9/4 and at this point I’m thinking there’s a better chance Long Island gets hit by a Cat 4 this year than that happening
  18. I’m surprised Islip has that much, I have 3.46” since June 1st from my pws. Only 0.92” since July 1
  19. Only 0.01” of rain yesterday, only 0.24” for me this month. 0.80” since July 1st
  20. Not much rain here last night .10”, .25” for this week though, around half the total I got in all of July
  21. .16” of rain here, first time this month getting any accumulation
  22. Holy crap, actual precipitation on the south shore of long island
  23. Temp dropped slightly with the sea breeze, still 91/76
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