Brian D

March is similar to mid Nov-mid Dec climo. 30/12 to start the month is normal here, too, along with higher avg snowfall than mid winter, ending with 42/24 by April Fool's Day.

DLH latest thinking has 3-6" of heavy, wet snow for me, with up to 1/2" ice in N WI/W U.P. with possible thunder. That's ugly.

Same temps around here this morning. -single digits near the Lake, with -10's to -20's inland. Cold morning. Another one tomorrow morning coming up before the ugly weather arrives.

Mid 30's yesterday with upper 20's today. Pretty seasonable weather with longer days. Very nice!

DLH thinking at this point. Ice is the big issue here. March 2010 was the biggest ice event that I remember with 1-2" along the N Shore. Lots of damage to the forest. Guess we shall see as this event nears. Messy is an apt word here for the area as a whole.

Looks like something is in the offing for the weekend, and it does look messy for MN. Rain/frz rain/sleet/snow. Well, that's March for ya. Plenty of ice here as the W half of the Lake is pretty covered. Weather has been generally calm, and will be until the weekend, so ice is forming, and thickening. That will keep a nice cold layer here, which could spell ice accumulations to start things off if a mid level warm layer makes it this far.

This was the heart of the cold in I-Falls back in 1996. State record of -60 was recorded in Tower, MN during this time, Feb 2 I believe. Actually, not much rebounding with highs in the -10's & -20's. I worked in a sawmill here in town back then. We had to shut down because the heaters in the mill couldn't keep up, and the hydraulic systems turned to jelly. Rural coop sites at that time were recording -50's for lows with similar highs. 1996-01-30 -12 -32 1996-01-31 -12 -35 1996-02-01 -25 -43 1996-02-02 -22 -45 1996-02-03 -10 -30 EDIT: Here's Tower 2S records for that time. Better rebounding there in the highs. 1996-01-30 0 -35 1996-01-31 -7 -55 1996-02-01 -6 -58 1996-02-02 -16 -60 1996-02-03 -19 M 1996-02-04 -4 -46 1996-02-05 0 M

Looking forward to next weekend. My modelling method is suggesting some potential there, but precip type will be an issue. Should be plenty of ice over the west side of the Lake to keep cold air in play. Ice over to snow is very likely. The upcoming week, although not as cold as previous days, is plenty cold enough to keep making ice, especially during the overnights. Some breezy weather will cause breakups, but there is going to be calmer winds mixed in there, too, which will help with ice formation. Right now, the entire west side of the Lake is ice covered, but it's on the thin side. Lake ice will be a big factor for my weather next weekend.

-30's again away from the Lake with near record/record lows set yet again. Jan-Feb this year has seen some really cold morning lows away from the Lake with many being near record/record stuff. A healthy snowpack with strong high pressure allowing for calm morning conditions really does the trick.

Very cold up here last night. That was the latest -40 reading record for I-Falls. Feb 20 had -44 for the latest -40 record before this morning. One more very bitter morning before more pleasant weather, yet still cold, starts this weekend. -20's is the forecast, but with very calm conditions slated for the a.m., probably will get a little colder, again, than the forecast. -30 was the forecast for this morning around those areas, and you can see how much colder it got.

Two Harbors ends with 10" in town, with about a 12" away from the lake. Site in town has 26" snow depth with 7NW site having 37". Pics from my home. Sorry, but being in a wheelchair limits my getting around, especially winter. Nothing like Bo's, but more than enough. Looks like Washburn,WI ends with 33.5". Impressive for this side of the Lake.

Washburn/Ashland, WI area have reports of 30" this aftrn. And it was still snowing at the time.

Snow winding down here. Looks like another 2 or 3" today. Close to foot here the last couple days., and March still to go, and probably some in April this year too. Already at avg snow for the season. Bo won't see the ground until Memorial day this year. LOL

Talk about a glacier. UUUFFFTA!

Looks like heavier synoptic snows heading into N WI/W U.P. right now. Just real light snows around the head of the Lake at the moment. Might get clipped by more synoptic stuff, but most should stay E of here.

Well, get off your ass and start shoveling man . Just messing with ya. But you have some work ahead of you that's for sure. That's getting to be tooo much.

Reports this morning showing 8" here in town with up to 12-24" around the head of the lake. Still snowing, but lighter than yesterday. I'd say 3-6" in general with any LES bands putting down more today.

Update report from 6pm was put up finally in the above mentioned area at 17". Still snowing pretty good there. Another site near the town of Washburn is reporting 20" at 9pm. LES band has, and still is hitting the area, but just a little south now over Ashland. Snow lighten up a bit here, but is getting a little heavier again. Basically light-mod snow from here on out through tomorrow. 12-18" looks to be a good call for the area, with some exceeding by a lot under heavy LES.

Looks like a 6.5" report came in just south of town on the shore from 7pm.

Interesting, but not sure if the one measuring is an official observer site. If it does surpass, it may not get counted. Not sure of the protocols. Looking at the dialog box of the report, there are no comments, like social media, or CoCoRahs, etc.

Last report was 21" at 5pm and it still snowing good on that webcam at 7pm, so big time snow there with probably 36-48 hrs left for them. Crawling out the 2nd story window there. A couple 9" reports from dwntwn DLH came in.

Washburn, WI reported 19" as of 3pm, and a report from French River, which is between TH, and DLH on the shore, reported 12" as of 5pm. Still a good 24-36hrs to go. Edit: More reports of 6-7" around the head of the Lake, and one area still hasn't updated, and that's folks in the St. Louis River valley on the south side of Duluth. A couple reports there had 5" by 9am, and it has been snowing rather hard at times in that area. Nothing reported around my town yet, and I can't tell with the drifting but there's plenty.

Snow is really picking up now. Getting heavy as synoptic stuff is pushing N. With the wind, whiteout conditions pretty soon.

When I worked up my latest forecast for the Holiday 2022 thread, the roller coaster looks to continue through Spring. This could be a rather violent spring season at times with the strong CA fronts and energy from the west.

This confirms what I said earlier about the ice causing the immediate shore to get good snows. DLH put up this storyboard showing the snow right along the shoreline, and current radar still shows the same. LES bands are getting stronger now for some north of me due to the 850 wind being due East, and N WI is getting hammered with synoptic, and lake enhanced lifted snows. A small LES band has been sitting just N of Ashland all morning.