Brian D

Well, I got this one close. Map for Sat eve.

Low of 12 this morning, with rather breezy conditions out of the SW today. Heading back to normal temps for a while. Bye-bye false winter. Oh, and BTW, I did mention that winter would be starting mid - Nov in my Fall forecast, so we have a couple weeks to go yet. Seems models are hinting at such a prospect. We'll see.

I did my best to force it your way. LOL

Same look in my area. Wet at the lake, and winter in the hills.

Monthly snowfall records achieved. More snow coming this weekend. Very impressive stuff. Twin Cites, MN - 8.9" (8.2" 1991) Eau Claire, WI - 7.2" (5.9" 1925) St. Cloud, MN - 7.2" (6.4" 2002) Brainerd, MN - 10.1" (7.0" 1951) Duluth, MN is at #2 with 11.9" (record 14.0" 1933)

78 ORD would be a tie at 3rd warmest for today. Impressive. I'm looking at threadex numbers and I think ORD is used from now on in the updates. Midway was part of the record up until Jan 1980, so I don't know if they use their numbers still. If they did, then 79 would be 3rd. Either way very mild for this time of year.

If temps like that pan out, most definitely going to rival daily records, and some all time, especially in the low max category.

Yes it does feel like Nov. Yesterday's snow didn't really add up to much as they thought. 1-3" away from the shore. Just a little white on the ground today with some very light snow at the moment. Looks like C MN ended up with 6-7" out of this latest wave, tho.

Steady light snow right now, but nothing sticking. Should start seeing white in about an hour as the sun gets low.

You can have it. I'd like fall to keep going a little longer. Nov in Oct is a bit rough. Makes winter just that much longer. Here, I'll try to force it your way. lol

Still waiting on the precip. It's still trying to overcome the dry air. The head of the Lake sees this happen quite a bit. Mets here call it the "donut hole". Ne winds pool dry air here.

Looks like a narrow band of heavy snow tomorrow with a storm warning on it. Lets see if they get this one right.

Might as well put my winter thinking here. I really think everyone should be satisfied with the winter that is coming, unless your not much into it. I'm a little older now, and brutal cold is tough to deal with so I prefer not seeing much of that. Unfortunately, there will be plenty of that, especially later on in Jan and into Feb when the worst of it will make it's presence known (will it rival the cold snap of 2019?). Plenty of healthy snow chances for everyone. Some mild weather will be mixed in as well. That's normal. Oct is turning out to be as wild as I thought it would, will this winter get as cold as I think it could?

1-3" near the lakeshore with 6-7" in the ridges along the North Shore. Mainly a rain/snow mix event tomorrow for me with gusty winds off the Lake, but the higher terrain could see a another 6".

And lastly, New Years day. Looks like a clipper front New years eve with high pressure building in on New Years. My map for this day.

Come Christmas Day, I'm expecting colder weather to arrive as a front from Christmas eve passes through. It looks like a re-enforcing front or a weak clipper/trough may follow behind, so looks mainly cloudy with snow shwers possible and LES. Here's my map for this holiday.

Going to start with Thanksgiving Day. Looks like high pressure over the Lakes, with low pressure system(s) over in the plains/mtns. Our western areas may see some affects that day, but expecting some messy weather for the weekend. Not sure if it will be major or not, but inclement weather over the weekend looks likely. Something to watch. The map may look something like this.

Grass is getting covered now. Just a steady light snow here. Roads will be next as the sun lowers.

Don't be a pessimist now. lol You'll see more later in Nov and Dec. The patterns I'm seeing for then should do you well a time or two.

Starting to snow here now

Looks like Marshall, MN is heading for a record for Oct. They're reporting 4" as of 11 am and the record is 4.5" 10/2/1999 with 4" 10/13/1960 & 10/10/1970. Still snowing with another heavy band moving through SW MN. Pipestone will be near record as well with 3.5" at noon. 6" 10/17/1937 & 4.2" 10/23/1932 & 4" 10/25/1918 - 10/9/1970 - 10/20/1980

Sat images showing decent convection across SD and S MN. Cauliflower look. Cirrus somewhat obscuring tho. Guess models where taking that into account and it'll probably pan out to some good numbers down there. Looking for my snow to start later this aftrn or evening. Reports from SW MN showing 4-6" so far.

Looks like the northern areas are in for a whollop later this week. Even half that for this time of year is impressive. We will see. After today's event, and tomorrow's, the system coming later this week is a bit stronger. The strong ENE winds off of the Lake could really dump a lot of snow along the ridges here Thurs night. Duluth's record is 10.6" 10/27/2017.

And more to come tomorrow. Only flurries my way today.

DSM 7.4" 10/27/1980 Ankeny to the north DSM 6.9" 10/27/1980 Indianola to south DSM 5.0" 10/27/1980 Newton to the east DSM 6.7" 10/26/1997 Guthrie Center to west DSM 7.0" 10/26/1997 Looks like this area is seeing heavier snows a little early and quite significant just like these past years even if DSM is just outside the heavier stuff. Very impressive event today.