Brian D

Snow reports around here showing 1-2" today. Temps in the mid 30's. This would have been more if it would have fallen at night.

Snowing this a.m. with about 1/2" on the ground. Melting now and turning over to rain. 3-6" possible on the ridges where it tends to be colder than right near the lake where I am.

Significant snows running a little early this year. Records show for Duluth that, although snow is common, this amount is usually observed during the last week of the month.

Rather windy last night with the frontal passage, and today highs in the low-mid 40's. Cold stuff. We'll see how the snow potential for here pans out soon enough.

Yep, it is all that so far with more to come. 2020 in the Duluth area has seen quite a few top 5 records in both the high and low categories.

0.8" here overnight. Much needed. Leaves are at peak right in the town here. We always are late in TH.

You can add Halloween storm Oct31-Nov2 1991: El Nino

Record yesterday here in Duluth. Awesome day yesterday. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 0725 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2020 ... RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT DULUTH MN... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 80 WAS SET AT DULUTH MN YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 76 SET IN 1930.

Interesting weather fact from Ft. Ripley October 1820. 11" of snow from the 11th-14th. Still stands as the most significant early Oct snowfall for that area. Fantasy of a bygone era? https://www.climatestations.com/minnesota-weather-for-1820/

A very cool weekend here with a.m. temps in the upper 20's, and aftrn highs mid-upper 40's. But milder weather on tap this week. Sure could use some rain though.

UP Mich is more like mountain environment of the west. Short summers and heavy snows.

Maples were peaking a week ago, with poplar/birch near peak when I was on a drive that way over a week ago. Enjoy your time up there. Milder temps coming next week with some shwr chances, but still, it's been a chilly start to Oct for sure.

Not quite right with that forecast. It ended avg-much warmer NW areas and avg-much cooler in the SE areas.

Oct 1st feels more like Halloween. Lets see how interesting this month will be.

Ending Sept mixed. A month of extremes.

Cloudy/cool here the last couple days with some much needed rain falling today. Rivers need to come up so salmon can spawn. They're barely running right now, and some of the mouths are closed off with gravel bars from lake waves. During the warm spell we had, the salmon were off the Agate Bay break wall, and many fisherman were having real good catches, including my son, who dropped off a nice king fillet. Very tasty!

I looked up Sept snowfall for the Duluth area 0.1" or greater. Data prior to the 40's would have been near the lake, after that the airport readings are about 5 miles inland and a little higher in elevation. Easier to get snow accumulations up there in the Fall, so very significant are snows near the lake that accumulate. The 1991 value may have been easily broken if snow was measured over the hill back then. Interesting that 1991 had that much as we also experienced the Halloween snowstorm that dumped 3 ft. of snow around Duluth/Two Harbors that same year. That was wild! Made for an interesting deer hunting season a week later. https://www.weather.gov/dlh/1991halloweenblizzard 9/18/1991 2.4" 9/29/1908 1.5" 9/25/1927 0.9" 9/30/1985 0.7" 9/23/1928 0.3" 9/21/1974 0.2" 9/26/1912 0.1" 9/30/1974 0.1" 9/21/1995 0.1" 9/21/2012 0.1"

Earlier in this thread, I noted the possible areas of above or below avg temps this Fall. This was my thinking of what it could be. One month in, and I'm probably a bit off already, but with 2 months to go with met fall, we'll see. I do pretty well with long range, but I fail at it sometimes too. That's the way it is.

This one too.

This reminds me of the mid 90's when we had snow in the air really early in the Fall season. Oct will be interesting as I thought. From snow to thunder and back again throughout the month? A mixed bag indeed.

A friend of mine took me on a ride up the North Shore of Lake Superior yesterday. Definitely near peak conditions north of Two Harbors. We went up Hwy #61 then up Hwy #1 then down Hwy #2. Didn't see any moose, but a nice ride. Temps were running mid 60's near shore to low 80's inland. It was a very beautiful day. Bye-bye Indian summer.

I graphed this. May have warmed much for Sept, but looks we're getting back to what seems close to normal these past few years, at least for the upper midwest. https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/testdap/timeseries.pl

Day 2 of Indian summer (warm, dry spell after killing frosts), feels great with temps in the low-mid 70's here. Back to reality in earnest next week though.

So far on track with Sept. Rather mild conditions set to show up this week at least for the western lakes. Should end up close to seasonal temps by the end of the month for the second half, hence " more normal conditions" along with some needed rain. I'm really interested in Oct though. Could be a rather fun weather month, we'll see.

Well, decided to put up my forecast for Halloween for those that involve themselves with trick n treats. Being 6 weeks out, lets see how close I get this. Looks like the upper midwest will be on the colder side with W to N winds (flurries/sn shwers?), and a storm front/low pressure in the lakes region. Map of what it may look like.