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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. The NAM wants to sneak a warm layer at ~800mb to DC. Not sure that it is realistic based on all the other modeling.
  2. Some of the precip in PA is from tonight/tomorrow. Otherwise, getting better.
  3. It is a nice run for our northern neighbors. The really good news from today has been the complete elimination of the concept of the 850s blasting north.
  4. Somebody will like the appendage on the 18z GFS. Not me, though.
  5. If the low end is 3” of uncomplicated snow, that’s good news.
  6. Whew. Nice to see the NAM cave. 0.3”-0.5” across most of the area with the first wave.
  7. Approaching 1" precip, all snow in the DC area by 12z Friday. Still snowing.
  8. Now that there is another potential threat within 7 days, it might be good to break out the W-F event into a separate thread, curse be damned. @stormtracker
  9. Low tracks from Tallahassee to offshore of Ocean City. We'll take our chances with that.
  10. DC itself does better on Thurs/Fri than with the initial stuff.
  11. Yeah, basically. Still, you and I still want the boundary further south like the Euro has it. The GFS is pretty good for our northern MD neighbors.
  12. Yeah, GFS is dry but doesn't blast the 850s through. The 850 line is right at DC on Thursday morning.
  13. RGEM has the R/S boundary near DC for the first wave on Wednesday.
  14. Prior to my time in town. The surprising thing about the 12z HRRR was the precip breaking out so early. But, the weighting on this one is still low.
  15. 22.3 here. I got to 19 once last winter.
  16. Ha. We can’t afford any type of amped system. We can do a nice gentle overrunning, but if this thing gets overactive it’ll flood us and we can kiss any snow goodbye.
  17. GFS top (DuPage, 00z) Euro bottom (Pivotal, 12z) for early Thursday. 850 winds
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