MN Transplant

Driest Aug/Sept combo in my records, beating 2015. So, that 100% means an all-timer blizzard this year, right?

The decreasing mosquitos part of this would be welcome.

Backups in at 3 of the 5 OL positions plus Carson Wentz is not a recipe for a winning team.

Going to be weird to have two consecutive morning Sunday games for my Vikes.

0.01”

Some places have had rain. But, if the models are correct, many places in VA will go the better part of 3 months with less than 5” of rain.

This is a disaster. Right back to drought.

It is a really interesting how this evolves. As Humberto moves around the Atlantic ridge it "tugs" on Imelda by causing a path of least resistance. But Humberto is far enough along in the recurve that it accelerates north and allows the ridge to build over Imelda. How exactly this plays out determines how far offshore Imelda gets, which in turn affects how close it can get to the US coast when it gets picked up by the next trough. The 6z GFS pulls it pretty far out to sea, so any landfall is in the Canadian maritimes or not at all. The 6z Euro leaves it off the Carolina coast through 144, which is markedly different form the 0z run. The 0z GEM eventually takes it into New England! Is there a win for us? Very unlikely. We'd need for it to be left behind and just churn over the Gulf Stream and then have a trough dig far enough to bring it in to us. I'd be more optimistic about this in later October, but it seems like a pipe dream here.

I thought it was just the first storm, but then the fantasy-land up the Bay scenario popped up.

I think the absence of Darrisaw was a big factor in how JJM looked the first two weeks. Darrisaw just completely eliminating Hendrickson from that game was great.

0.02”

Yeah, it’s tough when the result is this

It does say "a few showers making it as far east as Southern MD". 90% of the area is dry. They probably should have put a 20% POP in, though..

0.76”. The DC beltway area did well with the afternoon round.

0.47” and climbing. Meanwhile it is down to 59 for the low on the day.

Up to 0.3” at DCA. Some good amounts up over .75” east of the Bay.

The radar algorithm is nicely split between biological scatterers and large hail.

I have to assume the cicadas didn’t get high enough, being fat and clumsy. Not sure how high the lantern flies can go, but it seems to be high enough.

Over 2” at DCA, over 1” at BWI, and 0.03” at IAD. We really need a tropical or synoptic system to come in and douse us all (while dry-slotting @dailylurker’s yard).

Rain! Got the outflow boundary intersection just right. Over 0.50” in a day for the first time since mid-July.

Wonder what it is about right now that made them take flight in significant numbers. Popped to 90.7 at home. Looks like a lot of upper 80s temps and near 70 DPs around. Full summer.

Now I’m hesitating because the TDWRs are also showing elevated reflectivity. I can see some bugs flying around, so it isn’t impossible. I don’t know why Dover wouldn’t be showing the same though.

Something’s wrong with the processing, probably. That’s upwards of 30dbz in precip mode.

Trace

Raining at the office, not a drop at home.