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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Don’t worry, when we have 4” of slop while the rest of the NE corridor is buried, you’ll feel at ease.
  2. MN Transplant
    It’s nice how everyone is getting pumped for a PHL/NYC/BOS storm.
  3. MN Transplant
    The HRRR is a believable scenario. Comes in with a good slug of early moisture, lulls midday, and then ramps back up and cools down late afternoon into evening.
  4. MN Transplant
  5. MN Transplant
    Not even the GFS is doing what the GFS was doing. Those 3-4" QPF runs were pure fantasy.
  6. MN Transplant
    Sticking with the solution. If it goes down, it is going down swinging.
  7. MN Transplant
    Trying this again. 18z except for the UKMET/GFS/Euro. Precip that falls after 00z (Sunday 7pm) which should be able to accumulate outside of the favored areas.
  8. MN Transplant
    ICON is 0.4-0.5" QPF after 00z Monday from Frederick/Loudoun/Fairfax and east.
  9. MN Transplant
    The Nest has half the precipitation as the parent through 60 hours. On some areas of the DelMarVa it is 1/3. My assumption is that nothing that falls before 21z will accumulate, and then we get the trough action.
  10. MN Transplant
    I understand why we are ignoring it, but the NAM 3km is a torch at the surface. Still 37/38 by late afternoon Sunday.
  11. MN Transplant
    Pretty sure everyone here is using IVT wrong. I also know it as you stated, but I think people here are using it as shorthand for inverted trough.
  12. MN Transplant
    That was the most exaggerated difference between my house and downtown. Seeing Cantore on the mall with nothing and 4" of absolute paste in my yard was unreal.
  13. MN Transplant
    I had 4"+ of snow from both March 2013 storms and neither dropped below 33 degrees.
  14. MN Transplant
    34/34 at 00z Monday with snow falling. It would accumulate, but...
  15. MN Transplant
    Precip at DC by 18z Sunday: 3km NAM 0.02" Parent NAM 0.13" RGEM 0.28" GFS 0.90" Euro (06z) 0.08" One of these things is not like the other.
  16. MN Transplant
    Normally we should be banning Kucera maps, this time around we should be banning 10:1 maps.
  17. MN Transplant
    Pretty similar result, bullseye is still east of the Bay but it is largely a hit.
  18. MN Transplant
    It is getting to DC now! That was an unpleasant dog walk.
  19. MN Transplant
    Just waiting for the “I lost 36” from 12z” this afternoon at about 5pm.
  20. MN Transplant
    I am kind of stunned that the counties around here didn't resume plowing after it started melting to clear out the roadways. As you noted, there are still places that are down a lane.
  21. MN Transplant
    My first winter in my house was 2009-10, so that helps my average up to 15.9". Remove that and I'm around 12.5" which is also right around the median. My estimate based on a mix of IAD and DCA is that I should be around a 20" average long-term, so this has certainly been a subpar period even including 09-10.
  22. MN Transplant
    All the snow left in my yard is in piles, so I’m officially a 0 snow depth today. Great run. Model battle for today. Globals and the HRRR take us to the mid 50s at least. NAM locks DC and north into the wedge with temps staying in the mid 40s.
  23. MN Transplant
    We can certainly do a paste-bomb, but everyone needs to calibrate their ratios appropriately
  24. MN Transplant
    That's a unique sounding
  25. MN Transplant
    The streak ends for me today. Trace depth.
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