Jump to content

MN Transplant

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    17,619
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. I understand why we are ignoring it, but the NAM 3km is a torch at the surface. Still 37/38 by late afternoon Sunday.
  2. Pretty sure everyone here is using IVT wrong. I also know it as you stated, but I think people here are using it as shorthand for inverted trough.
  3. That was the most exaggerated difference between my house and downtown. Seeing Cantore on the mall with nothing and 4" of absolute paste in my yard was unreal.
  4. I had 4"+ of snow from both March 2013 storms and neither dropped below 33 degrees.
  5. Precip at DC by 18z Sunday: 3km NAM 0.02" Parent NAM 0.13" RGEM 0.28" GFS 0.90" Euro (06z) 0.08" One of these things is not like the other.
  6. Normally we should be banning Kucera maps, this time around we should be banning 10:1 maps.
  7. Pretty similar result, bullseye is still east of the Bay but it is largely a hit.
  8. It is getting to DC now! That was an unpleasant dog walk.
  9. Just waiting for the “I lost 36” from 12z” this afternoon at about 5pm.
  10. I am kind of stunned that the counties around here didn't resume plowing after it started melting to clear out the roadways. As you noted, there are still places that are down a lane.
  11. My first winter in my house was 2009-10, so that helps my average up to 15.9". Remove that and I'm around 12.5" which is also right around the median. My estimate based on a mix of IAD and DCA is that I should be around a 20" average long-term, so this has certainly been a subpar period even including 09-10.
  12. All the snow left in my yard is in piles, so I’m officially a 0 snow depth today. Great run. Model battle for today. Globals and the HRRR take us to the mid 50s at least. NAM locks DC and north into the wedge with temps staying in the mid 40s.
  13. We can certainly do a paste-bomb, but everyone needs to calibrate their ratios appropriately
  14. The streak ends for me today. Trace depth.
  15. 0.62”. Almost impossible at this point to provide a useful snow depth. 80% of my yard is now grass, but the north facing yards across the street clearly have 3”+ still. I went with 1.0”.
  16. And as far as I can tell, the intake for DC's water is up by Great Falls and none of the local counties use the Potomac for water from any point south of that. So, it seems like the sewage problem is gross, but is unlikely to affect much other than the handful of people who use the river for recreation.
  17. I've only recorded 4 precipitation events in the past 50 days, and two of them combine for less than 0.10". We effectively have the big storm and the Jan 10/11 rain as the only notable events this year so far.
  18. I gotta admire the HRRR absolutely insisting that we are going to pop into the mid-50s today in the face of every other piece of guidance keeping us locked into the low 40s. Going down with the ship is stupid, but honorable.
  19. Yeah, the HRRR is on a crazy island. I might put the NAM there too with the 1"+ QPF results.
  20. I haven't been paying any attention to this, but this morning's HRRR has me in the upper 50s Sunday 1pm while the NAM 3k has me in the upper 30s. So, I see everything is locked down.
  21. 2.5” remaining but the sloped, sunny spots have caved.
  22. The last few weeks will be great fodder for arguments about the best regional winter events. Basically, can you separate the event itself from the “aftermath”? Everyone wants a Jan ‘16 storm with a Jan ‘26 freeze, but in the end, which combo (big snow/melt, modest snow/freeze) is your favorite?
×
×
  • Create New...