McHenrySnow

I understand that. I also understand that we're blowing past forecast highs at noon.

If temps today are any indication, I'm going to be more concerned than I was about temps.

I keep thinking back to January 2019, the week of the extreme cold from the displaced polar vortex and remember a system that had what would normally be a garbage track for Chicago surprise us with an all snow front end thump. I believe we got 3 or 4" in the city. It warmed up above freezing and we had drizzle the rest of the day and then the arctic front eventually made it through the area the next day or so? Anyhow, this reminds me of that somewhat. Not necessary the atmospheric setup, but the heavy wet snow preceding the arctic blast.

Yeah, the nice thing is snow will stick to snow, so even if we wouldn't see much on paved surfaces, it might be enough to counteract melting and/or increase total depth.

3k NAM actually increased totals across LOT.

No major changes on the 18z NAM it appears.

Hate to say it, but I do think the Ukie makes more sense right now. I have all of the same concerns Hoosier pointed out.

Oh, I mean in the Chicago metro area only.

Might the NW burbs win this round? @Cary67 and I would appreciate it.

Low party at @A-L-E-K's house Thursday night per 12z GFS.

A very good hit for the vast majority of LOT.

Yeah, QPF shows a bigger difference than low placement.

It's NW some, definitely not "big time." And yes, temps are cooler and shows much more snow across the area than 0z. Though the 3K totals around hour 60 make more sense than the 12k imo.

The RGEM run looks nice if you just look at the snow map. Conceptually, it doesn't make a lot of sense.

None of them have been here. I wasn't expecting a snowstorm and was happy when guidance strayed from the mega cutter idea. Even if the low passes overhead, it's better than going through Iowa and we get to save most of the snow cover. I just hope we can squeeze an inch or two out to freshen things up for the bitter cold to follow. We'll see how it turns out. Went above freezing today actually, so definitely ready for the cold.

The idea of some snow from this before the arctic blast was nice while it lasted.

Just need it a bit further east and game is on. An awful lot to ask for, though.

Yes, who doesn't prefer 50s and 60s in February in a thread composed largely of snowlovers? lol

RGEM similar to NAM. Most of us are above freezing, but the snowpack melting should be countered by any new additional snow at least.

I definitely think this is best case scenario.

As opposed to yours? Got to love the childishness and pettiness of most of you on here. Someone can't complain about a lack of snow without you jumping down their throat, but then you can complain because somebody posts too many maps. I get the feeling most of you were bullied as children and now have decided to become the bullies anonymously.

Seriously, you don’t have to quote the post and include every one of the maps you’re complaining about in it.

Same here. I took a nap and woke up quite surprised to see the action had started. Already a DAB+ out there. Let the games begin.

Lake effect IS overdone.

Consistency doesn't equal accuracy.