McHenrySnow
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Everything posted by McHenrySnow
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I'm pretty certain Indy isn't getting a foot of snow tomorrow.
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Both the 0z NAM and RGEM are better than 12z. I wouldn't get too worried yet. Edit: The NAM isn't better than 12z necessarily, but it isn't worse. I'm talking NE Illinois only.
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Pulled the same stunt this morning, so, I'd toss it.
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Precip breaks out extra early too.
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Yeah, tomorrow morning should be good at least.
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LOT AFD is pretty sparse on details for the day before this event. Wish @RCNYILWX had written it.
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18z NAM showing the 12z run was just funky. Reverted back to better qpf in NE IL and NW IN.
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Not in DuPage County. The brunt of the precip will be heavy snow. Once it lightens up, there could conceivably be some drizzle, but most of the qpf has already fallen by that time.
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he treats me like dirt, hence the joke
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HRRR must be good friends with Stebo. Says eff you, McHenrySnow.
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Thinking 5-8" locally. Going to say 6" final (?) guess.
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That's 10-1. Kuchera gives you 5".
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Correct.
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Agreed. Though there does appear to be legitimate concerns across Indiana from both.
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There is definitely an increase in QPF across Missouri across both versions of the NAM and the 3K paints a relative QPF minima over central Indiana. I don't have time to delve into it more deeply than that right now. Just something to watch.
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I don't think the gap in QPF makes a lot of sense. Would like to see the other models 12z runs to see if this is clearly an outlier or if there is a trend among all of the models.
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Certainly drier in NE IL/NW IN.
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Though that is only for the 12k. 12z 3k NAM looks great.
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Trends on the NAM have been going in the wrong direction.
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No, but as mentioned earlier, some whiteout conditions and very dangerous driving conditions are almost a certainty.
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RGEM quicker with the weakening of the primary as compared to the NAM. Really screws our Ohio members over.
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I agree as far as the melting. I'm glad this one is on the weekend so I can stay up and watch it.
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I like seeing the 6" line staying north of the border.
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You can get one. Be prepared for childish insults if you say something Stebo or certain others don't agree with.
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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
McHenrySnow replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Let's hope that block saves us, because February 2019 was painful here. Storm after storm going right overhead.
