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McHenrySnow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by McHenrySnow

  1. 4" is my current guess for my backyard. Disappointing drying trend. 0z runs will be important, can we stop the bleeding?
  2. Hi-res models can pick it up, but they are notoriously difficult to forecast.
  3. Any lake effect Wednesday and Thursday will be largely due to the system passing south of us and not the system tomorrow and Tuesday, so I can't fathom doing a 4-day total for something like that.
  4. Understandable, but you've had more than double most of the Chicago posters - and, without the lake, my concern is the drying trend on this side of the Mississippi. You're at least close enough to the better dynamics that you might manage more than you expect.
  5. 0.25" here this morning, all falling from around 8 to 9 am. Wasn't expecting a big total, by any means, but the models had been ticking up all day yesterday. Dry air won out.
  6. You've done well on every storm, I'm sure you'll do pretty well on this one. I wouldn't worry too much if I were you.
  7. Overall looks good to me. I'm beginning to doubt doubt digits, though localized 10" especially further west is certainly possible.
  8. Was in Bridgeport during the November 2018 "blizzard" - that and the snowstorm in November 2015 were heartbreakers for people who actually lived in the city (let's face it, O'Hare isn't the city).
  9. You can also see the lake's influence very well. Maybe too well for parts of McHenry, Kane, and DuPage.
  10. You have the lake to at least pad totals by a couple inches, which is always nice. I can't imagine living in the loop and loving snow the past few years. It was bad enough in Bridgeport, but we often had better accums than the loop.
  11. This shows the actual storm total best as the "total" accums add an inch to inch and a half across much of northern LOT from tonights snow.
  12. They'll issue one in the morning, little doubt about that.
  13. Oh, certainly not. Well, I hope the 6-8" across N IL verifies and, even though it's been an Iowa winter, there's no chance 30" falls.
  14. GEM drops 30" in S Central Iowa and then peters out to 6-8" across N IL.
  15. Well, I certainly can't argue that the new GFS is better.
  16. Has the Para ever been correct? I mean, I think it has gotten better, but it's still been pretty awful.
  17. The one we need, certainly, but not the one we'll get.
  18. We've only had 50% of the snow we should have had to date. I understand your agony and I know you'd be thrilled to have what little I've seen, but considering the climate differences, not a big difference. We've both had a bad winter. This may change things our way here and there is still time for you guys further south. Biggest snowstorm I've been in was March 4-5, 2015 in Kentucky.
  19. I never expected a watch before tomorrow morning. LOT is usually more conservative than both DVN and MKX and I think tomorrow morning is plenty of time.
  20. Yep, seems models are being a little more generous tonight/early tomorrow in N IL.
  21. As I said, I like the trend. Said it so many times.
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