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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. stormdragonwx
    Indeed its a pretty crazy flip from what we have seen so far this winter, especially with back to back systems on the long range, also reminds me of 2011. Fingers crossed it doesn't do a 180 in the next 48-72 hours.
  2. stormdragonwx
    I wouldn't rule out more in the higher elevation areas. (Eureka Springs, Harrison) Those areas tend to overperform.
  3. stormdragonwx
    I'm gonna do some reverse psychology and say its gonna do the magic vanishing act around 100 hours out when the NAM comes into range. lol
  4. stormdragonwx
    Pretty jealous for parts of Southern Missouri today. I was tempted to do a snow storm chase up there. Looks like areas around Springfield got 2+ inches according to a NWS report I saw. I saw a mere dippin dot on my car windshield today, NWA just barely missed it again. lol
  5. stormdragonwx
    Send some of that snow over my way. lol
  6. stormdragonwx
    Yes the models thru at least the 20th are looking pretty bleak for any winter fun around here.
  7. stormdragonwx
    Yeah local media here is already trying to hype the Euro solution. Probably because of this:
  8. stormdragonwx
    I will be curious to see if the Southern Plains east of I-35 into the Ozarks will see a decent winter system before the year is out. There's a chance hinted at on the models around the 11th or so but that's way up in the air. I'll admit last winter kinda spoiled me after years of drought when it comes to snow. lol
  9. stormdragonwx
    While the snowfall doesn't look to be happening too much past the I-35/44 corridor as the models shown nearly 2 weeks ago, thats still quite impressive that they had it shown in the general area so consistently.
  10. stormdragonwx
    Yeah its total wishcasting as of right now but the models are finally showing signals for snow in the area. Been doing this for several runs around the 26th.
  11. stormdragonwx
    Seeing some analogs referring to the 1957-58, 1976-77, and 2009-10 seasons for this winter. Some interesting years there in my neck of the woods. Also an article talking about it. https://www.nwahomepage.com/news/featured-stories/your-weather-authoritys-official-2023-2024-winter-forecast/?fbclid=IwAR18RsWkMnBT3So4VZWvmcyFsixq0qvEPHMb_JCMU2QRYbg6XWeTHAXIX0E
  12. stormdragonwx
    Depends on what you count as an independent tornado. You had the four main tornado sequences then the instance with the three waterspouts in the "We got cows!" scene, then if you count each one on the "Tornado Hill" sequence as a separate tornado then you got close to 11-12 tornadoes in the film which IIRC was what most happened to see on the 2016 Dodge City day.
  13. stormdragonwx
    Man has anyone seen some of the modeled CAPE values in the panhandles? 10k in spots! Never seen that before.
  14. stormdragonwx
    Weird year indeed, its like May got postponed a month.
  15. stormdragonwx
    Tornado briefly on the ground SW of Newcastle via Ch. 6 live stream https://www.facebook.com/watch/live?ref=watch_permalink&v=1140074244053960
  16. stormdragonwx
    Newcastle, Bridge Creek and... Moore looking to possibly get hit yet again. Brief tornado already reported. Typical May in Oklahoma.
  17. stormdragonwx
    Another chaser apparently got rolled by a tornado in IL, chaser drama currently ongoing on Twitter in response to it.
  18. stormdragonwx
    Thought I'd note too 2500-3500 MLCAPE and 300-500 j/kg SRH was more than what was encountered in central/eastern AR Friday. Yikes. I will be interested to see how the storm motions evolve too. So far it looks similar to Friday as well. 50-70 mph NE movement. Being at night will be especially dangerous if there's a violent wedge on the ground.
  19. stormdragonwx
    Can't help but feel my area is gonna get nailed tomorrow. Also the same model (RRFS A) that nailed the Little Rock tornadic supercell is showing a storm tracking right over my area after 05z tomorrow night. Also the HREF is already lighting up the STP probs.
  20. stormdragonwx
    Ominous new D2. The familiar trend continues.
  21. stormdragonwx
    SPC Outlooks that seem to be straight out of the movie "Groundhog Day". Lovely
  22. stormdragonwx
    I know everyone is going on about that northern watch box but the southern one will be no slouch either. Both Highs seem justified. We got sunshine down here right now.
  23. stormdragonwx
    My current target area is Searcy, AR, seems to check out.
  24. stormdragonwx
    Pivotal Weather released an interesting new CAM model to their data feed. The RRFS A. It shows a pretty ugly situation for central and eastern AR by early afternoon tomorrow.
  25. stormdragonwx
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