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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Pinging here too. I have to go to Midnight Mass, so we’ll see how that goes. It’s not too far down the road, though.
  2. Absolutely, it can be a cruel game. I'll hope for the best with this one, since all our events have overachieved this season.
  3. Greedy for me is 4”, . I definitely don’t expect two feet for any storm. I just want a few inches, at any opportunity, as that’s how we reach our average.
  4. Yes, and I’ll stay greedy after the pitiful recent winter’s we’ve had, lol! it’s just we’ve seen this kind of thing many times and I’ve been screwed many times. I hope it isn’t one of those.
  5. The trends at the NWS have been good. More WSW to the west, including Beaver County, and totals still 4"-6", high end at 8", low end is now up to 3". Percentages of surpassing certain amounts have increased across the board. SREF Plumes are now over 4.5".
  6. I hope this is still progressing on schedule. I'm a little nervous we'll get screwed.
  7. Is it tracking with the models? Also, what are the chances of lake effect throughout the day tomorrow? Erie and those areas will be getting heavy lake effect snow, is it possible to see that make it down here, or will the wind not be favorable? I know it seems lake effect is kind of hard to forecast here, so hopefully we can benefit a little.
  8. Still has us in the 6"+ range, adjusted west, which makes more sense.
  9. We still look like we're in the 3"-6" range and that should good for us, I know I'll be happy with it. Ohio, is probably hoping that what happened on the 1st does not repeat here. We were the beneficiaries of their misfortune that time so, who knows.
  10. ^So, the same as last time? Trends started going bad in the last day, and went back last minute.
  11. Cool. Yes, the jackpot looks like it's right on us. Not too far in the future either, so we should do pretty well. This has been a check of a winter so far, I really hope it continues.
  12. Seems a little far east, no? Most guidance seems better for Eastern Ohio, but either way. Looks good here.
  13. December record 36.3", probably a stretch, #2 however, is just over 26", maybe a #2 December! All models, long and short range seem to paint 3"-6".
  14. 2017 we had 1.4” I believe early in the morning. 2010 had snow on the ground.
  15. Yeah, everybody seems oddly confident in this situation. Hopefully, that's good news, but it brings big bust potential.
  16. Does this event seem to have more confidence from forecasters than usual? Seems these types of situations are tricky and forecasts are always low, and conservative.
  17. High end of 8” is interesting. Let’s make it three over 6” in December, lol!
  18. Ew. Is it close by though? I guess the good news is NAM is still in its long range.
  19. I feel more confident that the WPC is putting us in pretty good accumulations. They can obviously change, but they always seem more conservative.
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