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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Is GFS decent at picking out a pattern earlier and doing the worst after that, or am I imagining that?
  2. GFS, threw out a total similar to that for this storm, maybe it comes to a more realistic number like we just had.
  3. I consider it an overachiever only because 7" was on the higher end of the model runs. Most were between 3" and 6", and the WWA was for 3-5". That's my only reason. I just can't get over this season so far, has been great, and here's to the new year.
  4. Christmas day picked up 5.1", smashing the old record. This one should stand for a long while. The last one stood since 1890, and was tied in 1935! That means the Eve and DY total was 6.6". We also saw 0.4" after midnight this morning, for a storm total of 7". Three storms over 6" in December. And the NWS says we are at our second snowiest December. Another overachiever. This has to be our year. Hopefully, the pattern stays primed. Stays cold or gets colder and has opportunity.
  5. Oh my God. Thank goodness you are okay. Yes the City workers were no where to be found today. Still snowing, one of those days where lake effect and ULL worked nicely together, for a record breaking Christmas.
  6. I’d be surprised if it wasn’t still going. Still snowing here.
  7. Officially we have 23.6" for the month. That's the 3rd snowmelt December ever! Chances don't look great for getting to #2, but we'll see. Also tied for second snowiest Christmas day ever and snowmelt since 1935!
  8. Nice looking out there. As of midnight there was officially 1.5”, we’ll see how much Christmas Day picks up.
  9. I’d rather in switch to snow soon. It would honestly just be safer than this sleet and freezing rain.
  10. Pinging here too. I have to go to Midnight Mass, so we’ll see how that goes. It’s not too far down the road, though.
  11. Absolutely, it can be a cruel game. I'll hope for the best with this one, since all our events have overachieved this season.
  12. Greedy for me is 4”, . I definitely don’t expect two feet for any storm. I just want a few inches, at any opportunity, as that’s how we reach our average.
  13. Yes, and I’ll stay greedy after the pitiful recent winter’s we’ve had, lol! it’s just we’ve seen this kind of thing many times and I’ve been screwed many times. I hope it isn’t one of those.
  14. The trends at the NWS have been good. More WSW to the west, including Beaver County, and totals still 4"-6", high end at 8", low end is now up to 3". Percentages of surpassing certain amounts have increased across the board. SREF Plumes are now over 4.5".
  15. I hope this is still progressing on schedule. I'm a little nervous we'll get screwed.
  16. Is it tracking with the models? Also, what are the chances of lake effect throughout the day tomorrow? Erie and those areas will be getting heavy lake effect snow, is it possible to see that make it down here, or will the wind not be favorable? I know it seems lake effect is kind of hard to forecast here, so hopefully we can benefit a little.
  17. Still has us in the 6"+ range, adjusted west, which makes more sense.
  18. We still look like we're in the 3"-6" range and that should good for us, I know I'll be happy with it. Ohio, is probably hoping that what happened on the 1st does not repeat here. We were the beneficiaries of their misfortune that time so, who knows.
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