Ahoff

Trending the right direction. Plus, precip fields tend to be bigger anyway.

The temps during the storm were low to mid 20s so pretty good ratios.

Verbatim, the GFS would be the second biggest snowstorm on record. Kuchera snowfall is 26.4". So, we know that isn't happening, lol.

The newest GFS is insane. Too far out, but hopefully it's sniffing something out.

Temperatures actually felt quite a bit lower than predicted. At least 3 degrees lower. Interesting.

Another .9” yesterday, so a 2.4” storm total. down to at least 7 this morning. Nice and wintry.

I'd say with the snow activity this morning we had to have gotten another .5" to get to 2" officially for this event. Sad that 2" is exciting in January, but here we are. Only last year we were talking about over 6" numerous times.

It is nice to get snow when it's 15 degrees out. Pretty rare here to get it that cold and snowing.

1.5" officially at the airport, as of yesterday. Still snowing decently right now.

Almost 2” on the cars. I’d say it’s a success. Still snowing too.

Yeah, that's probably a better description. They need to do a bit better.

NWS here is super conservative. They put WWA up rarely it seems. Many times they should they don't.

Stay safe!

I mean, yeah looks like we're getting something. The short range models have been kinder today than yesterday, but so close to a 5"-er.

It literally needs to just tick a few miles ( less than 50?) north or west.

Flurries already downtown, too.

NWS upped the total from 1.2” to 1.7” and the high end from 2”-3” to 3-4”.

Looks like it's falling at night. Just saw about 7 pm- early morning.

Could Friday be one of those days where lake effect gives us nice mood snow for a lot longer than anticipated? With the much colder weather on Friday hopefully there is a northwest flow.

SREFs jumped (for some reason) to 4.5". Really doubt that.

From WPC...This really doesn't sound too bad. ...Ohio Valley into Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Day 3... Shortwave energy crossing the central U.S. in the quasi-zonal flow begins to sharpen and dig as it approaches the lower Ohio Valley Thursday. An area of low pressure over the Deep South is then expected to strengthen as it lifts northeast through the southern Appalachians then off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Modest moisture being tapped from the Gulf will help drive widespread precipitation across the lower Ohio Valley through much of the central/southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. With the current forecast track, a transition zone of rain/snow would potentially bisect the urban corridor with the current favored area for accumulating snow to the west/interior areas but there remains some considerable uncertainty in the eventual low pressure track and therefore the amount/depth of cold air in place. But there is an increasing signal for several inches of snow for portions of eastern Kentucky into West Virginia through the end of Day 3 and the latest probabilistic guidance has increased subsequently. The latest WPC probabilities for 4 inches are now high across eastern Kentucky through much of West Virginia with a broad area of moderate probabilities around it from central Kentucky into the Mid-Atlantic. Taylor/Pereira

High end from the NWS is 7". so, at least the potential is there for a nice overachiever.

Also, very nice that it seems we don't need to worry about precip type.

Good start. They are always more conservative, understandably.

Chins up. Still a good signal from the national weather service.