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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    Guys, let’s pray the models hold tonight. If they do, I think we’re in a decent spot.
  2. Ahoff
    FWIW, SREF plume mean up to just under 6” pretty early.
  3. Ahoff
    Are the upper levels dry? They weren’t that dry in earlier runs, so why would it be lacking precip?
  4. Ahoff
    Is RGEM a good model?
  5. Ahoff
    Oh yeah, it looks massive.
  6. Ahoff
    GFS is still about a foot. Looks weird though as the whole storm seems rather dry/sparse.
  7. Ahoff
    Just feels like we're going to be pushed of the cliff, lol. The consistency has been remarkable, but is it accurate?
  8. Ahoff
    Everything seems to be going too well.
  9. Ahoff
    That really could be a great spot. I hope we have enough distance from the low to get good ratios, but close enough for great rates.
  10. Ahoff
    Nerve wracking, crossing fingers for no major shifts away from us.
  11. Ahoff
    Isn't this showing the ULL in west central Virginia, or am I missing something? That would almost be too far west, if that's the case.
  12. Ahoff
    From Tomer Burg on Twitter. Ran his simulation today. Looks great, but no wiggle room for eastward movements.
  13. Ahoff
    If they're usually super conservative, this should hopefully be good.
  14. Ahoff
    Heaviest over us.
  15. Ahoff
    TWC point and click is up to 7-12" for us! One of the higher totals I've seen from them. Do I expect it to hold...no, but it's at least a high start. Accuweather's first call is 4-8". 31% chance we go higher, 32% we go lower. Pretty even split at this point.
  16. Ahoff
    We'll cross that bridge if we get there, lol. Even the WPC has the 70-90% chance of .25"+ QFP over us now. Never seen that here, I don't think.
  17. Ahoff
    I fully expected SE shifts overnight. I resigned myself to that, but now I'm getting more excited than I want to be. I've just never seen us in the bullseye for this long. Feels like it has to be different, but still worried, lol.
  18. Ahoff
    Ron Smiley seemed very confident about heavy snow for this. And even talked about accumulating snow Tuesday into Wednesday also. This could be a great week!
  19. Ahoff
    Let’s hope. If this were Friday, I’d feel really good.
  20. Ahoff
    That's conflicting from Rd's post about the western members being higher and the eastern being further west.
  21. Ahoff
    That's good news.
  22. Ahoff
    Wonder how it’s doing so far?
  23. Ahoff
    What do we need to see out of the storm Thursday and Friday near the coast to know if we’ll be in good or bad shape with this one? And where are we with that one?
  24. Ahoff
    Bet it will, but hopefully, we see the final hours moving west a bit more.
  25. Ahoff
    Figured we should be in that period of time where they will start to tick East then west. Hopefully, nothing too drastic.
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