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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Not to get too far ahead but the CPC has the potential for heavy snow over our area again from 1/22-1/24.
  2. That’s true, just better stay put. NWS has the storm severity index as major in the City, one step down everywhere else.
  3. That sleet is so close, I hope it’s overdone. I mean if that’s how it plays out though the rates look intense in the City.
  4. Let's hope this is honing in before the mesos start being useful.
  5. NWS upped our range from 6-8" to 8-12". I'd say that's positive.
  6. This is the the track we've been waiting for guys. Let's hope it is good to us.
  7. That's a choice. Unless they don't mention Sunday snow, lol.
  8. Has the GFS been the better model this winter so far? Seems it picked up the last two events better and earlier than the others, especially the D.C./Virginia/I-95 mess.
  9. I love it! Looks like we generally held again overnight. Good signs.
  10. Guys, let’s pray the models hold tonight. If they do, I think we’re in a decent spot.
  11. FWIW, SREF plume mean up to just under 6” pretty early.
  12. Are the upper levels dry? They weren’t that dry in earlier runs, so why would it be lacking precip?
  13. GFS is still about a foot. Looks weird though as the whole storm seems rather dry/sparse.
  14. Just feels like we're going to be pushed of the cliff, lol. The consistency has been remarkable, but is it accurate?
  15. That really could be a great spot. I hope we have enough distance from the low to get good ratios, but close enough for great rates.
  16. Nerve wracking, crossing fingers for no major shifts away from us.
  17. Isn't this showing the ULL in west central Virginia, or am I missing something? That would almost be too far west, if that's the case.
  18. From Tomer Burg on Twitter. Ran his simulation today. Looks great, but no wiggle room for eastward movements.
  19. If they're usually super conservative, this should hopefully be good.
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