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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    That really could be a great spot. I hope we have enough distance from the low to get good ratios, but close enough for great rates.
  2. Ahoff
    Nerve wracking, crossing fingers for no major shifts away from us.
  3. Ahoff
    Isn't this showing the ULL in west central Virginia, or am I missing something? That would almost be too far west, if that's the case.
  4. Ahoff
    From Tomer Burg on Twitter. Ran his simulation today. Looks great, but no wiggle room for eastward movements.
  5. Ahoff
    If they're usually super conservative, this should hopefully be good.
  6. Ahoff
    Heaviest over us.
  7. Ahoff
    TWC point and click is up to 7-12" for us! One of the higher totals I've seen from them. Do I expect it to hold...no, but it's at least a high start. Accuweather's first call is 4-8". 31% chance we go higher, 32% we go lower. Pretty even split at this point.
  8. Ahoff
    We'll cross that bridge if we get there, lol. Even the WPC has the 70-90% chance of .25"+ QFP over us now. Never seen that here, I don't think.
  9. Ahoff
    I fully expected SE shifts overnight. I resigned myself to that, but now I'm getting more excited than I want to be. I've just never seen us in the bullseye for this long. Feels like it has to be different, but still worried, lol.
  10. Ahoff
    Ron Smiley seemed very confident about heavy snow for this. And even talked about accumulating snow Tuesday into Wednesday also. This could be a great week!
  11. Ahoff
    Let’s hope. If this were Friday, I’d feel really good.
  12. Ahoff
    That's conflicting from Rd's post about the western members being higher and the eastern being further west.
  13. Ahoff
    That's good news.
  14. Ahoff
    Wonder how it’s doing so far?
  15. Ahoff
    What do we need to see out of the storm Thursday and Friday near the coast to know if we’ll be in good or bad shape with this one? And where are we with that one?
  16. Ahoff
    Bet it will, but hopefully, we see the final hours moving west a bit more.
  17. Ahoff
    Figured we should be in that period of time where they will start to tick East then west. Hopefully, nothing too drastic.
  18. Ahoff
    I can't imagine with the trends that this goes from suppressed and out to sea all the way to Great Lakes Cutter, so I'd imagine the western limit is approaching, and eastern corrections should start soon, doesn't mean it won't come back, but the wobble mode is probably at hand.
  19. Ahoff
    I'm definitely worried about that too. Still looks like ensembles have room to move west before it's too much though.
  20. Ahoff
    This has gotten much better.
  21. Ahoff
    Yeah, that's still not a bad run. We can't expect to see 18"+ on every run, need to temper expectation, lol.
  22. Ahoff
    That's what is keeping me cautiously optimistic. Ensembles aren't as far west, but ticking into good territory.
  23. Ahoff
    KDKA gave the same line, but showed the GFS, no totals though, obviously.
  24. Ahoff
    That kind of track has to be due again though. At some point. Weather Channel point and click is up to 4-6" on Sunday from about 1-3". Hopefully this ticks west and then corrects perfectly for us.
  25. Ahoff
    I heard if the high pressure is east of Maine it will likely push the storm more inland. I think we want some high east of Maine, just have to figure out about how far will help us the most.
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