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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. There a few flakes falling outside my window. I assume there's rain mixed in as well, in the city.
  2. We are literally riding a razor's edge for this one. Some snow returns on radar in Allegheny Co., but mostly dry slotted right now. Maybe there's a small chance.
  3. SREF Plumes have this "event" at 1". Starts jumping the next one up to 2" early in the period.
  4. Had a nice Fall this year. Honestly, our luck we won’t even have a summer probably, after having no winter. Watch it be 70 and rain everyday.
  5. Ready for summer and constant disappointment of falling just short of 90 degrees 15 times in the season, lol.
  6. I guess we'll see. Seems other places I've seen this cool period lasts until around 2/5, but I've literally seen everything. Seems nobody knows. GFS has been terrible, so I think we can safely assume 3 feet isn't happening through the 6th. Nice to look at though.
  7. NAM and NAM 3k not looking too bad. Starting about 48 hours and stays all snow. 1"-3" overall. GFS also pretty good, though that means very little this season.
  8. NWS always seems to be the slowest to update. They don't really react to every model run. Seems they tweak by day instead. Maybe we wait to see from them.
  9. Looks like Wednesday trended back a little colder. The news this morning reintroduced snow, instead of yesterday's plain rain.
  10. There’s still a bit of time. We’ll probably be burned, but we never truly know.
  11. I thought when one storm comes through it sets the baroclinic zone for the next one, which essentially sets the next one up on the same track or farther east. Seems it never actually works that way at all, though.
  12. Yeah, 6"-10" who's going to complain, even if it were a good year we shouldn't.
  13. I've seen others on other forums say the 6z and 18z runs aren't terrible like they used to be. Not sure though.
  14. Should we take the temps verbatim in a case like that. I mean, it is the coldest time of year historically, maybe a low that far south and east brings a little bit colder air in. Doubt it, but maybe there's a chance.
  15. March into April will be the entire winter. It just feels like that will happen, and it will be awful.
  16. Really is a pity EURO is bulls-eyeing us a week out. Has worked out for us this year at all.
  17. GFS has been the worst performing model this winter. It's consistency doesn't equal being correct. The Euro has been giving us hope these last few days.
  18. Yeah, I'm happy with anything over 2". There are a lot of those, and plenty over 6". But a 28 or 39 will do just fine.
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