NorthHillsWx

Looks like our 0.02” mtd total will stand for the next 10 days at least

Drought busting 0.02” here today

0z GFS drops less that 0.10” of rain across much of central NC through the end of the run

Looking like we may have to wait till about then to see anything wet good lord

The entire state of NC will be in moderate + drought in the next couple weeks. Starting to become a ground water/fire issue. Went over the Tar river yesterday and it’s the lowest I’ve seen it in years

When is this above average El Niño rainfall supposed to start? It is bone dry. We have received a total of 0.18” the last 4 weeks from one rainfall

Can confirm. I bet we’ve had 20”+ of rain in Belize since Thursday. Many roads in San Pedro underwater and the place we’re staying has had water issues and flooding of most buildings. Along with the non stop 30-40 mph north winds it’s beautiful

Had a very suspicious reading of 0.18” of rain yesterday. I do not think we broke 1/10” of an inch. Never had a problem with my rain gauge but I’m wondering if the constant wind blown drizzle possibly affected it.

I’ll be in Belize through Monday so maybe I can report live

85.9 and downright hot

It won’t amount to anything, but 96L looks like a tropical cyclone. Definitely developed a LLC and has been maintaining convection for at least 12 hours

Unless you just invested a couple grand into fall food plots at your hunt club that have received 1 rain in the last 5 weeks. We missed last Fridays showers

We really need rain

Agree. This needs a post mortem thread so we can archive this on the forum. This was one of the top impacts we’ll ever see and its getting dissected on the general EPAC discussion

If Andrew had hit in 2023…

That’s what’s so impressive about this is the type of damage modern well built structures took. Not many examples come to mind especially with the high rise damage. There’s no question those taller structures took 200+ mph gusts to produce what we’re seeing. Think about Laura and lake Charles. That was a cat 4 with gusts to near cat 5 measured in the city and those high rises had mostly window damage. This completely gutted entire floors and any windward facades are just gone. It’s not just one building either, it’s all of them. I don’t even think there’s a remote comparison to this storm given the city it hit

This is some of the most high-end pure wind damage you will ever see. This will be one of the all time wind events for a major city. Speechless looking at the images and video coming out of the impact zone. Most amazing this is how quickly this damage occurred. This wasn’t a long buildup, long duration event. This was 1-2 hours of hell that produced this. Essentially an F3 tornado that tore through a major city. Just wow.

Just wow at the videos and pictures coming out of the impact zone. What an intense buzz saw of wind that must’ve been coming through that city

Yep. Mexican govt said all communication to the area is out. Stuff making it out looks like what we thought wed see. The well constructed hotels taking a beating scares me for what the poorer areas are going to look like

https://x.com/pa__tron/status/1717182463884026088?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

Devastating structural damage pics coming out now. Going to be a lot of content today

https://x.com/clintonhavi/status/1717113445261185167?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/cinemacricket12/status/1717132710412706003?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/mario_moray/status/1717127960509944016?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g https://x.com/richsaucillo/status/1717142211136024685?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

Tammy looking the best it’s looked at any point right now. Might see a higher intensity than the 85 kt forecast if trends continue

This could be the worst all time hit for western Mexico. Cannot imagine a more dire situation, especially given folks had 0 time to prepare

The 10 mb drop between passes of the last recon mission is insane. Nuclear grade red meat in the EPAC this year. Sadly, this one’s aimed for a population center