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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    This is looking like a significant weather event. I’d expect a serious squall line in Florida too
  2. NorthHillsWx
    At least we don’t have to worry about “what if there was cold air”
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Yea I guess to broaden my point: this isn’t even going to produce snow in New England with a perfect track in mid December. For us it’s not shocking but the lack of snow up north with a storm track passing over the “benchmark” is highly, highly anomalous for mid December
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Early next week’s Miller A with a perfect storm track and absolutely no cold air is going to sting. That being said, if that track continues this year eventually we will score
  5. NorthHillsWx
    While I will admit there aren’t any really warm days in the LR, it’s freaking above freezing across the entire US outside of mountain areas for days straight in mid-late December across the border. I mean when ND is struggling to get below freezing (not below zero) in late December, we are in major major trouble for a long time
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Garner Tornado rates EF-1
  7. NorthHillsWx
    It is certainly concerning seeing the consensus towards a prolonged mild pattern for the entire continent. We’ll need to see some signs of cold air building up north to have any hope going into January. Like I said earlier, kicking the can through December isn’t the worst but it becomes an issue if we’re still sniffing for a change in the LR when the calendar flips to January
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Im ok with it as long as we’re seeing some signs of something changing in early Jan. Otherwise, we’re going to be stuck in our can kicking pattern we have been in since December 2018
  9. NorthHillsWx
    All indications seem to be pointing to a punt until early January at the earliest for sustained cold and snow chances outside the mountains. MJO and ensemble guidance is ugly. That being said, my brother is reporting about 1/2” of surprise snow from Urbanna Virginia this morning
  10. NorthHillsWx
    I wish this was snow but we “jackpotted” with this event. Finished with 4.04” of drought busting rain
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Yea I’ve noticed that. Insane rates here. Just like that we’re over 3”
  12. NorthHillsWx
    This is drought-busting rain. Training over us since 4:00. Over 2”
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Confirmed tornado in Garner
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Rotation near garner is starting to look dangerous
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Sorry I should’ve elaborated- 17th through the end of the run periods (which happened to be Christmas). I wasn’t questioning your statement I was saying it looks like the entire lower 48 will be AN from the 17th-on using the ensembles. Was simply curious what you saw beyond that.
  16. NorthHillsWx
    EPS and GEFS have been pretty consistent in torching from December 17th through Christmas. What are you seeing that shows a flip?
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Our winter is the Iowa offense. Getting our punter out early and often
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Todays weather would’ve worked on Christmas Day
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Rained 0.05” last night
  20. NorthHillsWx
    2.25” with some showers continuing. Much much needed
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Had a heavier band setup for an hour overhead but otherwise been mostly drizzle today. Little shy of 1/2” so far
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Latest GFS has trended the way of every other front this fall and it really dries up east of the mountains. Rainfall amounts of <1/2” pretty much for everyone in drought area and much of NC and upstate SC <1/4”. Canadian and EURO still look wet but definitely do not like the GFS splitting the energy over the area. I’ve seen that story play out at this range a time or 5 since September
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like our 0.02” mtd total will stand for the next 10 days at least
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Drought busting 0.02” here today
  25. NorthHillsWx
    0z GFS drops less that 0.10” of rain across much of central NC through the end of the run
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