NorthHillsWx

Rotation near garner is starting to look dangerous

Sorry I should’ve elaborated- 17th through the end of the run periods (which happened to be Christmas). I wasn’t questioning your statement I was saying it looks like the entire lower 48 will be AN from the 17th-on using the ensembles. Was simply curious what you saw beyond that.

EPS and GEFS have been pretty consistent in torching from December 17th through Christmas. What are you seeing that shows a flip?

Our winter is the Iowa offense. Getting our punter out early and often

Todays weather would’ve worked on Christmas Day

Rained 0.05” last night

2.25” with some showers continuing. Much much needed

Had a heavier band setup for an hour overhead but otherwise been mostly drizzle today. Little shy of 1/2” so far

Latest GFS has trended the way of every other front this fall and it really dries up east of the mountains. Rainfall amounts of <1/2” pretty much for everyone in drought area and much of NC and upstate SC <1/4”. Canadian and EURO still look wet but definitely do not like the GFS splitting the energy over the area. I’ve seen that story play out at this range a time or 5 since September

Looks like our 0.02” mtd total will stand for the next 10 days at least

Drought busting 0.02” here today

0z GFS drops less that 0.10” of rain across much of central NC through the end of the run

Looking like we may have to wait till about then to see anything wet good lord

The entire state of NC will be in moderate + drought in the next couple weeks. Starting to become a ground water/fire issue. Went over the Tar river yesterday and it’s the lowest I’ve seen it in years

When is this above average El Niño rainfall supposed to start? It is bone dry. We have received a total of 0.18” the last 4 weeks from one rainfall

Can confirm. I bet we’ve had 20”+ of rain in Belize since Thursday. Many roads in San Pedro underwater and the place we’re staying has had water issues and flooding of most buildings. Along with the non stop 30-40 mph north winds it’s beautiful

Had a very suspicious reading of 0.18” of rain yesterday. I do not think we broke 1/10” of an inch. Never had a problem with my rain gauge but I’m wondering if the constant wind blown drizzle possibly affected it.

I’ll be in Belize through Monday so maybe I can report live

85.9 and downright hot

It won’t amount to anything, but 96L looks like a tropical cyclone. Definitely developed a LLC and has been maintaining convection for at least 12 hours

Unless you just invested a couple grand into fall food plots at your hunt club that have received 1 rain in the last 5 weeks. We missed last Fridays showers

We really need rain

Agree. This needs a post mortem thread so we can archive this on the forum. This was one of the top impacts we’ll ever see and its getting dissected on the general EPAC discussion

If Andrew had hit in 2023…

That’s what’s so impressive about this is the type of damage modern well built structures took. Not many examples come to mind especially with the high rise damage. There’s no question those taller structures took 200+ mph gusts to produce what we’re seeing. Think about Laura and lake Charles. That was a cat 4 with gusts to near cat 5 measured in the city and those high rises had mostly window damage. This completely gutted entire floors and any windward facades are just gone. It’s not just one building either, it’s all of them. I don’t even think there’s a remote comparison to this storm given the city it hit