NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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I’m not giving up but I never thought the front end was going to produce there just hadnt been a strong storm signal. It seemed DOA to me even if cold was available. We need to keep blocking for mid to late month and pray PNA actually goes positive which is questionable now
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We made it to 67 yesterday late in the day so we had a 40 degree drop from 3 pm to our low of 26.6 at around 7 am. That’s impressive
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26.6 this morning for the low, finally felt like winter again
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My concern with the 8-10th period has been and will continue to be the lack of solutions showing storms. The means regressed significantly last night and even those had been driven by a couple members with a big storm vs a lot of members showing something or something close. It just hasn’t gathered much modeling support and in the 10-day timeframe you’d really want to at least start seeing ensemble support for a valid threat
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I think that Jan 8-11 period is cooked. We cannot lose the mid-late month cold. We are punting prime climo now
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Euro caved to GFS- east coast trough replaced with a ridge and blocking evaporates. Ugly ugly ugly
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Horrific trends overnight on models and ensembles. Blocking lost and thoughts of west coast ridging replaced with west coast trough. Going to be an interesting day to see where we go from here or if this was more than a blip
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We had just done a thinning at our family tree farm in Vance county and that ice storm wiped out most of the pines. Was devastating for the tree rotation ended up having to do a salvage cut and start over, 20 years in the hole
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AI GFS with a big winter storm on the 10-11th
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What a crazy torch! That Charlotte graphic above is mind boggling
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Been a brutal shut the blinds stretch but signs of hope at least. If the expected +PNA -NAO actually sets up I’d expect to start seeing fantasy storms soon
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Surprised it’s not more active in here. Good overnight trends for January.
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An identical 72.8 as yesterday. At least it’s fun to get the kids outside playing with their presents. Picked up 0.12” in the morning
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There are torches and then there’s what occurred today. Topped out at 72.8 but seeing the national maps makes you pause
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Merry torchmas everyone! 70.3 how high do we go???
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Ahh. The sweet smell of hopium has returned to the forum. Nature is healing
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Thats one of the more impressive ZR maps I’ve seen
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Anyone have access to IP/ZR accumulation maps for the fantasy storm on gfs, just for fun?
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Nice looking at fantasy sleet storms past hour 300 than the endless fantasy torches we’ve seen over the last week
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Enough snow to shovel my driveway
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It was nice last year where everything just kept trending colder until verification
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The biggest impact of the - PNA if we actually keep blocking will be lack of STJ energy. We’ll be relying on something coming from the NW to dig and slow bc there won’t be enhancement or energy from the southern stream or a phase. That’s just the world we are in with the pacific this season. It can work for snow but the odds of a big coastal are muted without southern stream energy
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At least the torch and SER are muted with the -NAO but these systems flying in from the NW aren’t what anyone’s looking for
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The December 28 system has trended from the Canadian maritimes to the mid Atlantic due to blocking on the GFS over the last 4 runs. Definitely some volatility with unresolved strength of blocking over eastern Canada
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RDU now has Columbia’s climate. RDUs climate has shifted to DC. Do that across the country
