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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. I don’t buy the duration. Seen this so many times on modeling where energy consolidates either on front or back and it trends much shorter duration in time. Would be astonishing to see but I really doubt that is reality
  2. This is like a repeat of December 2018 but much colder at surface
  3. If I’m in Virginia I’m feeling as good as possible at this range. NC will likely have mix issues and it’s hard to argue climo or 85 line as a best guess for now where mix line sets up
  4. If the cold air is as advertised someone might get a 4-6” sleet bomb somewhere out of this if that look on euro verifies
  5. AI models did well this past weekend with temps. Different setup entirely but both kept central NC in 40s for most of storm while others were way too quick to cool
  6. Finished with 0.72” yesterday which was a nice surprise given the severe drought we are now in
  7. Definitely rain snow mix in Raleigh now
  8. Down to 36.7 here. Swear there is some frozen on the windshield driving around few min ago. We might hit 0.75” of rain today definitely over performing that department. Thing most in central nc are heading to flakes before this ends
  9. Too little too late but temp is starting to crash here. Got up to 42.5 and in the last hour have crashed to 39.4 with stronger north wind noticeable outside. 0.47” rain since midnight
  10. Approaching 1/2” of rain, great soaking rainfall much much needed
  11. Lots of bright banding over triangle right now. Sad thing is we did actually end up with solid QPF, 0.25” so far and raining moderate. Cold chasing moisture rarely works but Georgia is the perfect example why- areas south enough where cold didn’t have to go over mountains are snowing. Pretty textbook look into why it’s 40 and raining here but 32 with 1-3” there
  12. 1-2” over almost all of central NC, close to 3” max
  13. 12k NAM is beautiful for same areas. It actually starts to crank a coastal. 2-4” se GA through central NC
  14. NAM 3k was a solid 2-3” stripe from SE GA through central NC
  15. Maybe the sacrificial cliff dives yesterday appeased the snow gods
  16. Is anything *not* showing snow for Raleigh now?
  17. Euro back in the game central NC. BL colder bc of precip and 1-2” snow
  18. NAM is that south park meme “I ain’t heard no bell”
  19. There are so so so many big dogs in there
  20. End of January is one of the best looks we’ve had since 2017-18. If we don’t score one significant storm out of this everything is broken
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