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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Fact the Euro is that close is good. All options with the storm are on the table but cold seems to be available regardless
  2. Love the 0 degree readings over 1-2 foot deep snowpack in eastern NC Christmas Eve morning
  3. 12z GFS would feed families… That’s the potential this upcoming pattern has
  4. Overnight modeling remains consistent for Christmas week. Cold signal remains strong as does a storm signal. Talk of cross polar flow with a Rocky Mountain ridge is why folks are optimistic. That’s the setup we want. Nothing guarantees winter weather here but the players are on the field and it’s not a merry torchmas year
  5. 1.62” storm total. Low of 28.9 this morning. Lots of frost and wet ground from yesterday is frozen
  6. Go Tigers! After winning on a 56 yard FG the way our special teams have performed, a double digit snowfall no longer seems impossible
  7. Euro too. Canadian to a similar extent. Nice to see some level of consistency
  8. 12z GFS looks great 20-25th. All the ingredients are there. Pattern is good, wish there was more southern jet energy but miller B or a clipper bombing out with enough blocking to work seems to me what our storm mode would be. Fast paced pattern is an understatement but blocking seems to set up with a ridge over the Rockies at least giving us a 3-5 day window to score
  9. Already pushing an inch of rain today with that storm that just pushed through
  10. GFS is legitimately all over the place. This time it chose cold and a coastal bomb. What will GFS roulette reveal next time? I’ve been saying for awhile but I’ll say it again: Christmas week is interesting. Hints of southern stream energy and a cold push with NAO trending neutral to negative. A storm is brewing in the 20-23rd timeframe
  11. Everything about this winter is different than the last few. A fast pattern, no real semi permanent SER, better look PAC. Not saying we score but this isn’t going to be without opportunities. Heck, some of us already are on the board. Christmas week continues to have my attention
  12. 22.6, 12. If that wind had calmed earlier we’d be well into the teens!
  13. Looking at obs mine was most pronounced with initial cooling but Sanford and Louisburg had almost identical swings and the timing aligned perfectly with what my station saw. I’m guessing the wind calmed in the evening allowing for a period of radiational cooling then picked up for a period overnight before slackening off again before daybreak
  14. Interesting temperature spikes last night. We got down to 36 at 11, rose to almost 45 by 2, then fell for a second low of 39 right before sunrise before rapidly rising to 49 now. I’m guessing that’s related to inconsistent wind through the night at my location
  15. Christmas week looks interesting on the Euro as well
  16. High pressure centered directly overhead and near perfect radiational cooling conditions. Teens into SC is impressive for Dec 4
  17. 20.2 was the low this morning here. Up a degree now. Looks like most areas around here are in the teens
  18. The last part of that AFD mentioning RDU is hilarious: Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU.
  19. I’m at 27. They’re at 34. That’s wild stuff
  20. Even if it warms up for a week or two looking like most areas will have had multiple nights in the teens (more than we had all last winter), most of two weeks with lows below freezing, and accumulating snow in parts of the piedmont before Christmas. Add in a very strong start to the ski season in the mountains and this is an excellent start to winter. My bar is exceedingly low but a period of sustained cold at least gives me hope after what we’ve been through
  21. Snow reports showing up from Wilmington to ocean isle
  22. https://x.com/wxbrad/status/1863927984136032677?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g Snow cover visible from satellite! Definitely an over performer
  23. I know you got excited when that band looked like it was moving this way…
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