NorthHillsWx
-
Posts
5,462 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
-
For the triangle (Raleigh) area we need ever mb we can get as we’re not a favored CAD location. It was more of an imby post but agreed it’s enough to work if placement is correct
-
1034 is just barely workable. Placement would have to be perfect
-
25 degrees this morning with heavy frost once again.
-
Yep. This. At least cold air is in striking distance now but that SE ridge seems to always win out when it’s established.
-
GEFS is significantly better than the op but yea, not great
-
Just going to leave this here.
-
People are not going to like the snow maps or precip depictions but there’s a lot of potential showing up still. I think a CAD event, or multiple, seem probable in the coming period.
-
I would expect some wild swings with this model next couple runs given that
-
I can sense the renewed enthusiasm now that you’ve had your snowstorm this season haha
-
Model trends: GFS: positive, several winter events and close calls. Probably most consistent modeling of late EURO: Most improved player award. Gets arctic air in. Great CAD look for Thursday/Friday system then a follow up system w/potential before arctic air moves in Canadian: dumpster fire, no sugarcoating it ICON: improved. CAD signature and trended colder towards end of run
-
Man that’s a pretty HP placement at 192
-
EPS ensembles should be interesting
-
Consistency...
-
EURO MUCH improved from 0z dumpster fire. Drops the arctic hammer too
-
System at 150 is close
-
Definitely trended much better and a solid CAD signature. Would not need massive southern adjustments to be back in the game.
-
EURO definitely coming in colder so far
-
I do not think it is all liquid ***in this set up*** and longer range models are notoriously poor at picking up CAD. Definitely not a lock to be a rain event as depicted on the models. Need to watch this
-
I know, I know, 10:1, multiple systems, freezing rain/sleet counted as snow. But, there is potential
-
Right, most of us have avoided a shut out and it’s felt like winter almost every day. I think we’ll get a storm. A lot to be ironed out over the next week but cold air has moved to this side of the pole and it’s within reason, especially with the southern jet remaining anomalously active, that we can get timing right on a storm to link up. The fact it’s already snowed in a crap pattern shows we shouldn’t get down to this point
-
Trying to stay positive before the Euro sends everyone over the cliff in a couple hours. Did throw the “lol” in for good measure... I do think we have a chance especially with total model mayhem atm. We tend to do much better when snow shows up in the 2-3 day window than a long ways out on the models anyway. Give me some arctic air nearby and good HP placement and let the rest work itself out **takes sip of bourbon.
-
No clue how much rain bc my gauge isn’t reading but 40 degrees and clouds breaking
-
GFS has 4-5 threats through the period. No way we can screw all them up, lol
-
And the last 2 snowfalls occurred with zero arctic air nearby. Now we at least have it within striking distance. We are not far off from a good thing even with some model differences on storm placement over the next two weeks. Nothing says we aren’t in the game even some of these dumpster fire runs
-
Major storm incoming on gfs
