NorthHillsWx

Pretty good rains this morning. Up over 4” for the last 5 days. Still raining lightly

2.07” on the day. 3.80” for the month

Pouring. This will make up ground for the summer

Finally got a rainfall over 1/2” maybe some more to come? Sitting at 0.57” so far, all of which fell in 20 min. Ended with 1.21” which brings the MTD (and our 3 day total) to 1.73”

@eyewallyou always get amazing pics but these are some of my favorite!

RDU was 2 degrees warmer than my house yesterday and 4 degrees warmer today. That’s pretty significant variation for being so close. We did however receive close to a half inch of rain more than them last month and a half inch more than them so far this month

Topped out at 96.3 today. Highest HI was a scorching 107.2 which though way too hot did not verify our excessive heat warning. For the second day in a row we got a thunderstorm which put and additional 0.16” in the rain bucket and cooled it off considerably into the upper 70’s. I’ll take these pleasant rain cooled evenings any day! Looking at radar, it looks pretty meager out there for the 70% area wide rain chances advertised this morning. Feel fortunate to have gotten the storm we did EDIT: Picked up an additional 0.07” for a daily total of 0.23”

Cloud cover *MAY* help us from a repeat of yesterday’s triple digit heat. We’ve *only* made it to 96 so far and it’s leveled off for the last hour or so. Still had a max heat index of a blistering 106 a short time ago

Upgraded to an excessive heat warning today. We verified one yesterday despite only having a heat advisory. Heat like this, even in the south, is quite rare. Usually our dew points mix out in the afternoon at peak heating but this is a pure soup airmass. Hope the advertised pattern changes noted above come to fruition. This has been a miserable summer

Missed out on the big totals just east of here but picked up 0.29” from a frisky storm that blew up overhead this afternoon. Broke 100 for the first time this year. 100.1 was our high. Storms were a fine consolation prize after the pain however

Seems suspicious to me. We’re usually a few ticks warmer than RDU and it peaked here about an hour before that observation. We broke 100 for the first time this year and had our highest heat index since I’ve run my weather station so I think RDUs observation is off but it’s still our hottest day of the year by far

Hottest day of the year here. 100.1 with a max heat index of 111.7. RDU is reporting 102 with a heat index of 114. Much hotter than that well advertised heat wave that fizzled a couple weeks ago. This is brutal heat

I saw that, I was hoping you’d get that last gasp cell

While true, 75 or so billion came from a single storm. If Ida misses the US we’re all talking about 2021 being a lame season. Just some perspective on how a single storm can change a season. Nicholas was a damaging storm and ultimately a billion dollar disaster, but we won’t remember that name. The season featured only 7 hurricanes and 4 majors, both just slightly above the average. The season featured so many junk storms that only lived 1-2 days out in the open sea. I’m still pissed they named Odette and still don’t believe it was a tropical cyclone…. All that said, I know the poster above is known for spam posts, but 2021 really was unspectacular if you take away 1 storm. But that’s all it takes to make a season memorable

11 am confirms it, Bonnie is the first major of the year in either the Atlantic or East pacific basins

Bonnie looks like a major this morning

Bonnie has become a picturesque storm this evening. Very small eye and beautiful cloud pattern on visible.

Frying pan tower is currently gusting to 44 kts, sustained at 30 kts The location has been seeing sustained winds between 30-35 for about 3 hours and have a max gust of 46 kts

This looks like a TD/low end TS making landfall. I’ve seen much less classified

Highest temp: 99.7 Lowest temp: 54.2 Monthly Precip: 2.00” The one positive I will say about a very hot and dry month overall is models and forecasts definitely overdid extended periods of heat for both of our heatwaves. 2 weeks ago we did near 100 but we got clouds and some storm complexes that offered much more relief than expected. We had an excessive heat warning issued and didn’t even verify heat advisory conditions. Last weeks heatwave was WAY overdone on models. We had two warm days then a pleasant week with several rain events. Otherwise, just hot and dry summer weather ruled the month

Much better rain coverage in the triangle this morning with a 20% chance of rain than a lot of days this month with 50-70% chances. 0.26” for the day, may get another shower or two. 1.96” for the month now EDIT: picked up and additional 0.04” for a total of 0.30” for the day and an even 2.00” for the month! Did not think we’d hit 2” this month, but we clawed our way there somehow. Makes a very dry month slightly better

Ouch. That corridor along 95 has been exceptionally dry. We’ve caught the edge of a few decaying mcs systems but they did not make it much further east of here. I’m surprised the storms yesterday totally collapsed east of US 1. Models definitely were more bullish for the area than reality. I do wonder if the extremely dry ground and surface condo may actually work to thwart some rain opportunities and storm development

Frustrating watching storms pop up all along the stalled front across South Carolina when just a few days ago most models had the front stalled across North Carolina with multiple days of rain. My backyard was one of the lucky ones yesterday to get a good soaking, but that was our largest rain for the month and only the 4th rain event all month. Being most of our rains were brief showers or storms, it was a heck of a lot of dry for June. Some models look slightly more wet for tomorrow, we will see. 1.70” for the month certainly leaves much to be desired, especially given the heatwaves that seemed to cause flash drought conditions across the area

Recon confirms the trough is still open with no COC. Still finding TS force winds under the deepest convection

PTC2 still looks ragged this morning, though it does look like storms have consolidated some on the northern end of the trough axis. If this apparent center becomes the COC that could be very important as it pertains to intensity down the road. Obviously the further north the system forms, the higher the likelihood it avoids land and has a greater chance to strengthen. Where the COC forms is going to be absolutely critical to this system’s intensity and could be the difference between a cat 2 and a TS when this storm makes landfall in Central America. Signs this morning seem like it is favoring the northern side of the trough axis, which obviously would nudge the track northward if that becomes the center