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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    That is a heck of a write up - One of the best I've seen from LWX regarding severe weather in recent memory.
  2. Kmlwx
    LWX discussion is pretty bullish for later in the week too.
  3. Kmlwx
    Latest day 2 outlook extends slight to the coast
  4. Kmlwx
    Good to see even early-ish in the season there isn't a shortage of chances...even if it isn't high end. It's still very early.
  5. Kmlwx
    Bullish is what I like to hear.
  6. Kmlwx
    Would be a fun night if that were to verify.
  7. Kmlwx
    The 12z 12km NAM also looks kind of good for overnight Sunday into Monday...but we all know how nocturnal stuff usually works for us. Unless that speeds up to be Sunday afternoon it probably won't be much.
  8. Kmlwx
    LWX in their early AM discussion seems very bullish despite them also mentioning uncertainty for late next week. Too far out to say anything for now.
  9. Kmlwx
    Luckily it's 8 days away.
  10. Kmlwx
    Way out there - but the GFS has a decent setup it seems for next Friday...
  11. Kmlwx
    Instability will be the question mark with Friday. Shear should be more than sufficient. Looks like a chance later in the weekend maybe too. (Sunday?)
  12. Kmlwx
    Friday will probably be all about the CAPE. If the CAPE is too low it'll probably be a pencil thin line of gusty showers.
  13. Kmlwx
    Wow - you're right it looks really nice.
  14. Kmlwx
    We are still pretty early season. Though I guess La Plata was an April event. Friday would seem to me to be the better option for now.
  15. Kmlwx
    Meh
  16. Kmlwx
    Still looks like Monday holds some marginal potential for severe. Probably a good shot at a few rumbles of thunder at least. LWX mentions storms in their PM forecast discussion. Nothing looks particularly robust - so certainly no outbreaks or widespread severe for us.
  17. Kmlwx
    I'm not in yet - just making that clear
  18. Kmlwx
    The only times it is acceptable for dews to be above 60 is when it will bring a severe risk. #ChangeMyMind The setup doesn't look super robust but at least it's something to track.
  19. Kmlwx
    The old GFS has some severe risk maybe next week.
  20. Kmlwx
    I had hail in Columbia just before 9pm. Smaller than pea sized - a few good CG strikes too. That's a win in my book.
  21. Kmlwx
    NAM 3k was pretty dry if not completely dry for a lot of locations in our area.
  22. Kmlwx
    Well south and east appears to be the site for any action this PM.
  23. Kmlwx
    Been busy at work all morning - what a disaster. Maybe we can eke out a rumble of thunder.
  24. Kmlwx
    Even in low activity years - it only takes a single day/event to really make a or break our severe season around these parts. A region-wide significant squall line can make a season pretty memorable. Though I'd like multiple storm days ideally. Thunderstorms are one of the few redeeming qualities about triple H weather around here.
  25. Kmlwx
    It's March...and even though we probably have a few more winter weather threats ahead...it's time to launch the 2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx thread. Pattern stuff can go in here, discussion leading up to events and more. Same guidelines as past years. Thread will probably idle for a month or two - let's hope for some general excitement this year.
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