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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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That report shows "wind gusts estimated 65-70mph" in the LSR on GR2AE. Not sure why the numerical value is 81mph. Also not sure which line to believe lol.
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I thought CIG was "reasonable max intensity" not "this is what we expect"? Given that DCA gusted to 68mph - that's right up there and not sure an additional 7mph would have caused a appreciable difference in damage. But not sure.
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I was kind of shocked that they didn't include one more tier west of counties. I guess they were relying heavily on the boiler plate "in AND around the watch area"
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It's looking like a ton of sites verified severe criteria wind
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ANDREWS AFB,MD (ADW) ASOS reports gust of 51 knots (58.7 mph) from WNW @ 0128Z -- KADW 170128Z 30038G51KT 5SM +RA SQ SCT015 BKN024 OVC031 09/04 A2939 RMK BKN V SCT CIG 022 RWY01L PRESRR SLP959 $
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The LSRs are really rolling in it seems in the wake of the line.
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Showed up on the screen as an LSR on GR2AE
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Velocity scans to the SW in that more splotchy looking stuff are crazy. But wonder how much is actually able to mix down. Seeing pixels of over 100mph but at like 6-7kft.
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Power flickering here - all the UPS units are clicking away.
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Have dropped 19 degrees in about 17ish minutes.
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Hearing wires down calls (to be expected) coming out over MCFRS air now.
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Same here! More impressive than any wind earlier today IMBY.
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Dropped 12 degrees in 4ish minutes and dropping fast still.
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Would think if anything forms it will be no worse than the straight line wind threat from these. Just may be a gustnado or similar if that keeps the bend in the line going.
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The kink in the line is probably going to get a very brief "bookend vortex" style spinny.
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Yep. We probably needed a combo of this coming through during daylight, and also more breaks in the clouds during the day...and less crapvection. Perhaps any combo of two would have worked.
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This shape of the line with a bend nearing DC/NoVa was well modeled by the HRRR
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LWX velocity scans are picking up 40-50mph winds around and passing the radar site (under 500ft) heading east. Looks like they are broadbrush warning the entire line. Entire metro severe t'storm warning.
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The biggest question will be how much of this will be able to mix down now that the sun is down.
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Seeing some 60mph pixels down to like 2.5kft-ish W of Remington.
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Velocities 3-5kft off the ground are impressive with the line coming near Culpeper now.
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I also fought the separate thread for days. Finally gave into it...
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