ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah. Usually subtract like 20%. Similar with snowfall intensity.
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We’ve talked about it for years but New England is beyond overdue for like a cat 2/3. Eventually it will happen.
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Sandy was def longer duration. It was like 4-6 hours of pretty good sustained winds plus gusts. I haven’t seen anything match peak winds from Irene yet in SNE.
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HVN 48 knots and OXC 46 knots. We’ll see if we can get 50 knots more inland...so far just BDR in CT though I suspect GON will come in over 50 kt next hour or so.
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54 knots BDR
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45 knots just now at OXC.
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I actually misinterpreted it like JC did. I thought you were mocking the awful commentary on the previous euro maps. My bad. Yeah, you can see how much it ramped down from previous runs. It’s like when you see the NAM go from 2” of qpf to 0.8” in one run.
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Yeah that is the euro that just came out a few min ago. The runs 36-48 hours out were way more weenieish. I know someone posted one with 90-100mph gusts in spots.
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You’ll know by 330-4. Watch that band of showers arcing up through BDR now. Once that goes through your area, you should max out your winds within 20-30 min or so in the dryslot.
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HPN just got 51 knots right behind that band of showers.
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That band of showers almost at BDR now. We’ll see what they can muster in the next update or two for peak gusts.
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The short term maps are def a little better but those euro ones are awful.
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Theres a longer period of like 30-40 knot gusts but the peak stuff seems like it’s pretty brief with that dryslot/mixing zone.
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Yeah if that keeps happening, we should see BDR come in with a big peak gust in the next 20-30 min as that band of showers passes them.
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Right behind that thin band of showers again...that’s where the gusts are happening. For those who don’t know, FRG is basically just north of the “C” in “New York City” on that radar loop
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Whoa at FRG
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I never thought we were going to see many hurricane force gusts up here. Maybe a rogue one on an exposed bluff on the south coast but my bigger question was how well we’d see 50+ knots inland. Still not sure on that but the 60 knot gusts in NYC are a decent sign. It could still be mainly a south coast event though....interior is always tougher on southerly flow. At least there isn’t an inversion.
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60 knots at LGA
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That’s getting legit. First 60 knot gust I’ve seen. There’s a thin band of convective showers and it seems the little dry slot right behind it is where it is ripping.
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There was a little thin band of convective showers that went through so it’s possible that is what mixed it down there in both places.
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51 knots at MMU. That’s the first 50+ knot gust I’ve seen that far inland. They might have gotten a little sting jet barely east of the center.
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52 Kts at LGA too
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52 knots at JFK. 41 knots at ISP. Nothing too crazy yet but next hour or two is the peak there.
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ACY got 57 knots...and they prob tickled 70 at 950 during peak. I’m curious to see what JFK and the further east LI stations get as they theoretically should mix better than ACY did.
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I want to see what happens on LI pretty soon. That will give us a good barometer of what the south coastal communities may see.
