Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
  • Posts

    90,911
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. I remember me and Phil got 60 knots with the handheld on the cape. Which prob means it was 65+ knots at 10 meters. Ill be surprised if there’s a lot of reports like that in this one but there may be a small window. I think the real test is going to be what JFK and those types of sites report in a couple hours. The LLJ is supposed to strengthen a little so we’ll see if we can do better than the 55ish knot stuff we’re seeing down in SE NJ.
  2. ACY gusted to 54 knots. WWD also 54 knots.
  3. Maybe the timing changed but we were seeing 55+ knots over RI/E MA at 00z tonight on previous runs with 65+ near the south coast.
  4. 53 knots at SBY 49 knots at WWD
  5. Given the winds aloft, I’d think EF2 is possible for sure. Low topped supercells can produce but as you know it’s harder. But the wind and shear is there to tighten up one of these guys.
  6. LLJ going across Delmarva right now so we’ll see what SBY to GEO reports in the next hour.
  7. GON-WST def looks like a good spot later on.
  8. Looks like the NAM shaved about 7-8 knots off the 950 winds down in SNE compared to 00z. Still looks pretty windy but I’m wondering how many 60+ reports happen away from the coast or really exposed areas. I think the TOR threat is a bigger deal.
  9. I wound think at least coastal RI can gust higher than that. Interior is always a crapshoot...so many ways for the interior to underperform on wind events, but if the LL lapse rates actually pan out like guidance is trying to paint, then it could be decent.
  10. Just checked HVN and it has 73 knots at 900 and 58 knots at 950 at 21z
  11. It’s gotten windier since earlier. The euro may be leading the way. Still not sure about 100-110 knots at 850 like the euro has, but the NAM is now getting some 75-80s in there. Has 60 knots at 950 over E CT to BOS at 00z tomorrow.
  12. You weren’t supposed to tell them about our anti-VT group PM.
  13. A lot of member social media groups are filled with chickenshits who either: 1. Want to stir up trouble for fun 2. Actually believe the crap they are typing but are too scared to say it without the “safety” of groupthink 3. Think their opinion is way more important than it actually is 4. Or all of the above. Agreed on the toxicity. No use wasting time in an environment like that.
  14. If a local VTer told me to go home if I had a place there, I’d tell them to go f*** themselves and not think twice about it. Lol.
  15. I’ve been noticing even the NAM is like 30 knots less with the LLJ than the euro. If the euro verified, even I would admit that there is some decent wind potential away from the south coast, but the solutions with like 65-70kt at 850 are kind of meh for interior outside of some rogue gusts in cells.
  16. BDR and GON are pretty exposed. They might have some ok gusts.
  17. I’ll be tracking the Tolland stem wind gusts with bated breath.
  18. This storm looks like absolute ka-ka. I’d be surprised if there is much of any tropical wind core left by the time it reaches here. All gonna be hoping you get s LLJ max as it rapidly expands eastward.
  19. Yeah not sure exact temps but in the shallow area near the dock it has to be at least high 70s. It’s definitely cooler in the deeper area near the channel.
  20. I think he fell asleep before his head fully hit the pillow...his normal bedtime is like 745-8. The kid is a fish though. He’s been on the beach and in the water since 830am.
  21. I think it was two years ago when we were here right after the tornado hit the northern part of the lake at the 302 causeway. You could see the tree damage driving over it.
  22. Yeah we can see pleasant mountain looking a little further left than my first shot straight up the lake...
  23. Up in Maine this week. First night was a beauty...we let our 4 year old stay up late and swim until after 8pm...got this shot a bit before 830
  24. It probably will. Or at least the warming there will slow. The N PAC has warmed faster recently than the N Hemisphere as a whole.
×
×
  • Create New...