ORH_wxman

My guess is everyone west of 495 is likely done with accumulations....decent chance anyone west of 128/95 is done. Euro is trying to give another inch or two of arctic fluff into eastern MA on Friday. We'll still have to follow that.

I mean, it's almost non-existent on the H5 charts...maybe technically there was a leftover entity that helped focus the cyclogenesis, but I don't think it was very significant in the scheme of the '78 storm. Feb '13 on the other hand had a major southern stream player that the northern stream phased with.

Euro likes eastern areas tonight and early tomorrow...it's most robust period is the south shore tomorrow morning though. Suggests another 1-2 inches there.

Pattern is getting to him

I really want to see what his weather station thinks the 7 day forecast is.

Feb '78 was basically all northern stream. Feb '13 had southern stream involvement.

I agree the -EPO signal is getting louder and louder. Euro weeklies were trying to hint at it the past couple runs, but not totally biting....however, as you hinted at in previous posts, that product probably can't really "see" the SSW consequences yet...or at least at the time they couldn't. Wouldn't be surprised if next run it shows a more robust signal for week 2 since the cross-guidance ensemble suites are all starting to show it at the end of their respective runs the last couple of days...and it's a pretty robust look too.

He uses those awful sideways maps from France or some random european country.

Is it moderate to heavy snow for 48 hours?

I almost just deleted it but decided to respond so that normal lurkers understand that really isn't going to happen.

No it doesn't

RGEM likes north shore and SE NH tonight...though it goes eventually get some light snow into the south shore/BOS...more like tomorrow AM/midday for them.

Yeah 12km NAM says not much but 3km tries to tack on another 1-2" near the coast late tonight/early tomorrow.

Ridiculous gradient in between 495 and 128.

Top analogs on CIPS (based off GFS).....Scooter just walked down into his basement with a sledgehammer after seeing the top one

Tip just threw his laptop against the wall after seeing that geopotential gradient.

You can see the covered footprints from my oldest son last night in my pic...LOL. At least there was like 2" after he went to bed so it's semi-smooth. Good to see the south shore and Cape get a nice mini-jackpot too. They've been struggling badly this winter. Hopefully that IVT Friday can get them too.

4.2" here. Nice scene outside.

That's a lot more tucked than previous EPS runs

3” in Holliston and just spitting a few flakes now. Can’t complain...solid round 1. Hopefully NAM and HRRR are correct with the redevelopment later on tonight and we can grab another inch or so. Tomorrow night looking pretty meh on most guidance except maybe south shore. But who knows, that could change. Friday looking more interesting for eastern areas.

Like the TTs in the low 60s there. Thunder....we Dawn Awaken.

Pounding on the south shore

We also briefly had dippin dots in the first 20 minutes later this afternoon.

Not talking Greenwich. More like where iceberg and wolf man are. They could’ve had more like 3”. We’ll see if it redevelops more overnight. Some guidance does but other guidance does not.

I don’t think it’s gotten much better in Southwest CT. That’s where most of the posts of disappointment came from.