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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Torch Tiger
    Ensembles like Canada much more, at least the Euro/GGEM
  2. Torch Tiger
    Dews are spiking nicely, much better day today.
  3. Torch Tiger
    You have a what for him?
  4. Torch Tiger
    GGEM ensemble has like 6/21 Canada hits, no NE
  5. Torch Tiger
    There are ways to get it up here, needs to be on the low-and-slow end of guidance jmo. Faster or develops more north are bad
  6. Torch Tiger
    Completely different setup and we all knew Dirty Deb wasn't going OTS. 12z Euro op is slower with the system, and has the U/L towards WV, while the GFS buries the U/L way way southwest over TN nearly GA. You want that UL over the lakes more like the Dirty Deb setup and no model shows that.
  7. Torch Tiger
    show me a similar 500mb anomaly pattern that had a hit here, and I'll re-consider I guess a few maybe had similarities with that trough in the west but it looks rough
  8. Torch Tiger
    Yup gone before it even started
  9. Torch Tiger
    Not even that close tbh. lol
  10. Torch Tiger
    probably kicked on the 18z gfs. UL is too weak and south
  11. Torch Tiger
    JV models like JMA and NOGAPS both have it, too. Let's go!
  12. Torch Tiger
    GGEM still has it as well. Good agreement
  13. Torch Tiger
    Big 'un?
  14. Torch Tiger
    Those Godly cutters last winter were exciting, admittedly. I guess CoS is correct?
  15. Torch Tiger
    winter? lol
  16. Torch Tiger
  17. Torch Tiger
    '54 poppin off in the 8-14
  18. Torch Tiger
    right through Christmas sounds fantastic
  19. Torch Tiger
    GGEM looks like the Euro D10...
  20. Torch Tiger
    Debbie downer...eh. Hopefully a primer for a big 'un
  21. Torch Tiger
    Prime those rivers/streams! Don't even care about distant lightning
  22. Torch Tiger
    Let's go!
  23. Torch Tiger
    who would've guessed?
  24. Torch Tiger
    Nice downpours!! Looks great
  25. Torch Tiger
    easy to see that happening, too. hopefully SW CT sees some big 'un flooders
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