Ruin

really 61 at the gap funny I was out that way and it wasnt cold like dec but no way it was near 61. went to the casino earlier in grantville the gap is right around the corner 

17 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

When the pattern switches i hope we get a storm that produces 20 jnches. Then we'll all be happy.

same but I just cant help but remember last year and year before they kept pushing the pattern change back a week or 2 till the end of march. then you hear oh if this storm was in jan feb it would of been historic 

I wish it was snow tonight lol. 4 days ago before we were going to get the storm it was upper 30s to low 40s for  high. low was below freezing. I understand its coming up from the south but with it being just off the coast id thought it would bring down some cold air considering its so strong. 

6 hours ago, TimB said:

Not exactly inspiring. I’ve never seen this much of this deep red on the week 3-4 outlook.

this outlook accuracy has to be called into question. how often does this so called 3-4 week modeling actually pan out. I remember the last 2 years kept hearing cold is coming below average and precip above average. the precip was always about average and the cold just kept getting pushed back then to never actually happen.

4 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

I Apologize, I'm not exactly sure what your asking. I have never bought into long range forcast my self. I don't invest anything emotionally until it's about 3-4 days out . I don't remember any legitimate long range forcast of cold,  or snow last winter other than one December possibility. I believe it showed up in the mid range, and was hyped on twitter, and youtube. I think you might be referring to forum and internet clown maps, and wish casting. I'm completely with you on long range forecasts being a joke. 

all the outlooks said colder then normal and precip higher then normal for the mid atlantic and northeast. all my local news and national were calling for it. but what im asking how long till it will actually collapse enough for us to see a pattern change storm patterns etc 

20 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

I'm pretty sure this El Nino has been focast to end between April and June before it even started.

to be fair how long does it normally take to ramp down? vs how long do we see the actually pattern change? its been like 3 years or something im tired of this lol. why I didnt buy into the long range forecasts for winter last year saying cold and snow. 

 thoghts on the el nino info? mind you this wasnt just on foxweather site ive seen it on a few other sites dealing with weather  

it amazes me when long range forecasts for a season call for snow and cold almost never happens. when it calls for above average temps yep happens 

well I dunno what this says but my forecast high today went from 61 forecast for fri down to 55 yester now todays high is set to be 51. it got a few degrees colder last night then forecasted but its all rdy up to 44. 

So ive been dealing with stuff all day last time I saw late last night local abc27 was calling for 48 as a high and rain till lunch time.  just checked at 6pm they are calling for 47 for a monday said we get to near 50 after the storm ends as some wet snow no accumulation and to warm to lay. So guess big changes? teen again they were also calling for aa high near 50 today and we got to 42

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

Welcome back! 
Here’s to a great Winter!

Hope so tho christmas means less deaths in the family 2 years ago really made the holiday lonely 

56 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Ladies & Gentlemen, he’s back….. !!!

Hopefully, you day isn’t Ruined by this rain…

you know I have a point tho 

that map to me is laughable this far out. sat was said to be 60 to mid 60s and we didnt make it past 49. the forecast even for sat morning was 63 mostly sunny skies. they didnt even update it to consider the foggy drizzle keeping the temps down. so after the last few years with models giving us happy land outcomes and it not happening. this is all a nice dream and even some how we did got this snow. we all know it wouldnt stick around for a white christmas. it always manages to warm up and all melt even if we have 7 days till christmas. ill keep an eye on this but I doubt any thing will happen. watch it go from a coastal to a lake runner.

30 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

This will get the grass growing assuming we get decent rain on Sat...all suites have a warm spell next week after this weekend's quick chill but the CMC is going for two days in the 80's for the LSV before another cold spell sets in the following weekend that sets up the "just after Easter Nor'easter".    More immediately, high wind watch issued for @MAG5035 land. 

 

 

 

from what i remember it takes a good week for grass to grow once temps hit 60 but the over night lows cant go into the 30s or the grass will just not wanna get out of its dormant stage and you need a good bit of rain in that week to get things started. even tho we had temps in the 70s a few times they were short lived why grass hasnt started to grow yet.

I still see some people thinking we may have 1 more chance of snow lol. its over its damn spring we all got screwed  lets hope for a cooler then normal summer cause Im not looking forward to 90s 

On 3/17/2023 at 11:36 AM, Bubbler86 said:

@Ruin you said on the other thread:

--

the below period time was said to be the 16th on  and was said to be much below normal I owuldnt call 50 when the average high is 52 chilly the coldest day we had was 48. for many of us it was warmer then forecasted for a few days and for me I had 2 days below normal the rest were average and even had 2 days above 

--

 

Below are MDT's numbers for the period 3/10-3/15.  All of them below normal, and two days where it did not reach 40.  Maybe you were speaking about earlier in March?  

 

 

it was for me my dad is in middletown but with that said it was said to be much below normal this isnt much below normal. also the heart of the so cold was after the 17 looking it now we are forecasted to be way above upper 50s to upper 60s. so by the end of the month we will be skewed a tad above normal or near normal. Much below normal is like 10 degree's I dont see one date on that reference that shows that. thats slightly below normal. btw im not throwing shade at any of you guys here. im throwing shade to temp guidance showing once thing and my local weather not showing the same thing. but then had people say the local guys have to catch up tp to the temp outlook thats a nope never had to cause it didnt happen

2 hours ago, Chris78 said:

We just finished a stretch of 6 days in a row of below normal highs. With a few of those days being down right cold for mid March. 

Not sure what area your quoting temps for but  the models correctly forecasted a below normal period.

Now they missed on other key areas like continued burying of Energy along the west coast that hampered any possibility of seeing snow.

This has been a bias all winter for the models of underestimating the trough in the west in the long range.

the below period time was said to be the 16th on  and was said to be much below normal I owuldnt call 50 when the average high is 52 chilly the coldest day we had was 48. for many of us it was warmer then forecasted for a few days and for me I had 2 days below normal the rest were average and even had 2 days above 

2 hours ago, nj2va said:

 

Where do I sign?

lol yeah ill take it like I was trying to say for a week plus. these bs signs of cold air the temp guidance was talking about was flat out wrong. maybe 2 days of slightly below average then mostly at or above.

16 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

You have nothing positive to add in our own thread, for christ's sake will you please stop trolling and keep your shit posts up in PA where they don't belong either? 

 

Sorry southern friends...

im being realistic no one else wants to say it like I said before I want snow but latching onto models 10 days out showing a snow storm over and over only for that model to trend more and more away from a storm.  Then latch onto the next one showing another storm is kind of crazy dont get me wrong I like the chase as the next person but some years it isnt meant to be  

on to next winter 

all this talk about below normal temps looking into the weekend next week looks normal to me 

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 12z GFS still likes the idea of 1 to 2 inches of snow for parts of the LSV & the rest of the Susquehanna Valley.

I remember in years past we would be said to get snow then trended totally away but then not forecasted we got snow and heavy snow. boy how I wish we could get a surprise snow out of this odd too that it will be close to the bench mark but hardly any precip shield back to our area.

Oh damn I thought they were saying it was suppose to be mostly rain after the bump of snow cause the new atmospheric river was warmer this time 

56 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

well then my local news station was wrong thats on them and thats the case they are showing lower 50s all the way up to mid 60s one day so what happened to the cold?

50 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I challenged you to find something positive to share. Obviously that was too much to ask. If you can't find it in yourself to be positive, at least provide accurate information.

ok positive to share it will now be 65 a day next week you  can go for a nice drive