Ruin

its sad we keep grabbing onto the next storm the next storm will have enough cold will be in the right spot. then a few days it changes trends worse.

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Also, The 12z GFS is bringing back the more significant storm potential for next Sunday. 
This run is front end thump of snow especially for the western half of CTP, but the potential is there.

they always push the snows and cold further back and we look at them. saying its only a week away 2 days later it shows a app or lake cutter and its 50 and rain vs 25 and snow or a mix 

Almost 50 today and now looking at the midrange the cold air got pushed back for forecast time frame now only mid to upper 30s. when yesterday same time frame the same days was in the 20s  at this point just bring on spring. Im tired of the cold air being pushed back every year for the last few. Why I was surprised we got the few days of artic chill. but even that too only lasted 2-3 days when it was forecasted to last week or 2 at the start.

8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Phoenix < Rouzerville 

27 here but all rdy up at 35

9 hours ago, Ji said:

Ouch. What would Hitler say about this

what the actual fuck with a Low that far south and east no way rain goes that far north the model is smoking something or bad data got in so bad data out

ahh I hope the forced south trend cause of the cold doesnt keep trending I hate suppression. its to warm its to warm then bam its nice and cold I guess what the cold weather pushes your front and weather makers to far south.  

5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Snow plow driver? 

no this new job if I get it would be security guard driving around lol

7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

BANG!!!

 

id love that post bday but my luck ill start this new job the day of the storm lol

haha im thinking this thing will turn into a lake cutter lol or way south with cold air suppression 

models always do this I mean 2023 cant we have models that actually work more then 1 storm. I often say bad data in bad data out. but it feels like more and more models have feed back errors or strange solutions 

very glad the precip ended when it did meaning no rain to wash away the snow 

5 minutes ago, paweather said:

yes pls that is around my bday 

either the storm had way less precip with it like I hinted at earlier or maybe it wasnt as strong to pull in more moisture? it was said to last till 3pm with snow then heavy ish rain for tonight?

looks like back end is here maybe we could get another burst looking to the south but may be moving more east then north. Ill take it tho no change over no damn washing it away If we can get some clear skies tonight temps should go lower then forecast 

Snowed picked up last 10 mins mod snow again big flakes.

4 minutes ago, canderson said:

I assumed main roads would be ok with extremely marginal temps but that first push of snow was so heavy it overwrote that issue. 

At the start of the event until 12:30 roads were pretty bad a few accidents on 83 Tho that first burst of snow had to be like 2 inchs in the first hour it was pretty crazy. Id say we may hit 4 inchs at the end but most likely 3.5 mdt area 

8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Surely,, but a bit surprised it made it that far north when I am still snowing here....though it has stopped now as the dryslot has pulled in.   The rgem had a blotchy precip map like that last night.  I am not so keen on giving the GFS too much credit.  It had 5" over MDT last evening. 

yeah still snow here near middletown area all snow temp 31-32 keeps bouncing 

unless it back fills in a bit the end of the snow and precip is coming east fast 

3 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

GFS for sure if Cashtown’s saying he has almost 4”. That was about the only model that was consistently showing that kind of snow that far into the LSV while keeping the widespread advisory totals in the rest of central PA. 

I got a quick 2 inches first hour. it slowed up a bit but still coming down.

it honestly felt like a lake effect band how fast and hard it came in 

at 1030 stopped into the mall to grab a few things no snow. came out 15 mins later to light snow on the drive home for a early lunch white out almost went to dry pavement to covered in 10 mins

Sigh here we go again 

Just now, mahantango#1 said:

Looks like a non event here temp 34 dp24.8 We'll see though.

yep 34 here outside harrisburg by the time it gets here it may just be a mix or rain. 

16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I was thinking waking hours for morning 6- 8, 8-10, and 10-12.  Some model depictions have both a MSLP (pressure)/Precip option as well as a Radar option so you can see what they are predicting virga wise.  The GFS on TT has this.  MSLP and Precip is predicting actual precip on the ground while radar will often show the virga.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

what does this have to do when mid to late morning is?

34 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

No, most forecasts that I’ve seen have said mid morning start time.

Hmm maybe im wrong but I always thought mid morning middle of the morning 6-7-8ish latest 9 and on I would of thought is late morning