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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    Given your location synoptic snow should be banned.lol
  2. Cary67
    Exactly.Not a fan of high winds and tree damage.
  3. Cary67
    From microburst this September in my neighbors yard.Good times
  4. Cary67
    NAM will whip back and forth every run with that narrow band like an unattended firehose
  5. Cary67
    The tread marks of SLPs over LOT's head is growing tiresome. 12Z suite shows no let up with this rain, zr pattern. Cold rain till mid March seems likely.Amended based on longer range models make that cold and dry with suppression of systems to start March
  6. Cary67
    Even if it shifts further SE the WAA seems to just bring the possibility of ice into the LOT area moreso than snow.
  7. Cary67
  8. Cary67
    Storm track should perhaps slide SE with cold air pressing. May open opportunities for OV and EC. Out to 8 to 14 days. 11-16 days cold overwhelms pattern if you believe what the GEFS is selling
  9. Cary67
    4.0" here
  10. Cary67
    2.5" down here
  11. Cary67
    Snowing moderately here with 3-5" possible
  12. Cary67
    3K NAM
  13. Cary67
    12Z 12K NAM
  14. Cary67
    So this is replacing the current GFS? If so, wonder what sort of qualitative analysis has been done. Seems to fail the eye test so to speak.
  15. Cary67
    Does it show that warm layer poking it's way up through Chicago yet.lol
  16. Cary67
    DGEX's 1st cousin
  17. Cary67
    You definitely had more ice than my area. Seems we had more sleet than zr. About .2 ice accretion
  18. Cary67
    What do Lake and McHenry fall under? Sleet storm warning
  19. Cary67
    Yeah my area is a mix and figure it will stay that way the rest of the night. Maybe .5"down and now comes the crust.Tonights forecast of 4-7" looks good if you live in Lake Geneva WI
  20. Cary67
    Started as snow looks to have switched over already. Correction just stopped
  21. Cary67
    I don't think Euro is seeing the slop fest the hi res models are seeing for extreme Northern IL. Euro has the 3-6" look whereas the NAM has a mix almost at onset with it just rain in the loop parts of the event. Going with more ice and mix than snow for most of northern tier counties .10-.25 ice accretion along with 2" snow.
  22. Cary67
    0Z 3K NAM showing ice/sleet vs snow
  23. Cary67
    Hope so but 18Z NAM looks to push more FZR up to the state line with a bit of a dry slot followed by a deformation axis just south of Chicago. Seems like were in a position of high bust potential at least snow wise
  24. Cary67
    Not a good look for Chicago area.
  25. Cary67
    6Z GFS
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