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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    I look forward to these types of posts. Its like holiday tradition watching Lampoons Christmas Vacation or a Christmas Story. The lamenting of disappointing climate is part of weather ritual just as putting up the tree,hanging lights, or caroling.
  2. Cary67
    I would agree long range op runs are worthless. I think theres equal chances of something popping up long range for systems but for that also verifying is another matter. In other words if a long range forecast says nothing is going on chances of it verifying are greater than it showing a particular system that verifies. More combinations on the dice so to speak favoring nada in terms of producing snow than those that do favor system snow. Thats why LES is so great..less variables need to fall in line.
  3. Cary67
    Not written anywhere that if December is snowless and mild that January cant follow the same path.Although Skilling mentioned arctic air could return at very end of month or early January. But for what duration?And where's the trough position? If the cold air does return but not further west in the central plains it could just result in New England benefiting.
  4. Cary67
    Give us a storm total when its done
  5. Cary67
    There's a white coating outside. Not sure what it is
  6. Cary67
    Real treat will be when it continues into January. You will pay dearly for that October white stuff.lol
  7. Cary67
    Your welcome
  8. Cary67
    Make that mid May. Aprils still suck especially last year
  9. Cary67
    Check out wx disco. Its just the opposite of here. Everyone is an OV poster
  10. Cary67
    Getting ready to collect money from Hoosier. JK
  11. Cary67
    Can't argue that. Another December to remember
  12. Cary67
    Found this interesting for those holding out for snow chances later this month
  13. Cary67
    Relatively snowless December at ORD prediction still alive
  14. Cary67
    When it bites the dust it will be a spectacular bust
  15. Cary67
    Most of the modeling Im seeing shows the OP GFS the northern outlier and even its 6Z run ticked south. GEFS members mostly further south of OP along with CMC, EPS. Ukie came north to join CMC and Euro Paints an I70 storm more than I80 especially up by Chicago and points north.Also if the EPS is to be believed holiday week looks Chistorm mild
  16. Cary67
    Heading towards Ukie and Chistorm December and punts away.
  17. Cary67
    Still think if Euro shows nada the GFS will eventually cave to the weaker solution
  18. Cary67
    12Z Euro and the GFS ensembles still south.
  19. Cary67
  20. Cary67
    Euro and GFS show system for OV and the EC
  21. Cary67
  22. Cary67
    Nice picture. Did you paint that yourself?
  23. Cary67
    Looking good early.
  24. Cary67
    Trending towards the garbage model
  25. Cary67
    I guess close to 9.6" means within a few inches. If were sitting at 11.2" at end of the month I wont feel the prediction was wrong. If were sitting at 17-20" then yes.
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