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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    Small melt downs are good for the soul.
  2. Cary67
    Is the NAM slowing this event down?
  3. Cary67
    Can't discount the GFS and would reasonably expect models to slightly wobble back north by tomorrow evening. But this year seems to be the winter of SE weaker and lame so the Ukie represented that. Went for a walk today it was nice. Golf seems far off though.
  4. Cary67
    Not by the Ukie. 1-2". A little more SE shift and weakening by 0Z Euro and your there. Also MKE area in the same boat.
  5. Cary67
    If anything the volatility of these models would indicate NWS offices should issue winter advisories no sooner than 12 hrs out. For this event nothing sent out till tomorrow afternoon or evening for LOT.
  6. Cary67
    I thought the Ukie was the southern outlier?
  7. Cary67
    Ukie gaining momentum. Starting to take control of the fight. Pull a little on the loose string and it all falls apart.
  8. Cary67
    Oh yeah. Holding to that 2.5" call
  9. Cary67
    In all honesty we seem to be in a good spot. Will see if Euro stays the course
  10. Cary67
    Ukie's calling all the models home for supper but their late and the food ran out. Ukie has me busting high on my 2.5" call
  11. Cary67
    If its too soon to determine snow amts its too soon for a WSW. Why not issue them tomorrow after 12Z runs to see if it holds up then warnings Monday evening or early Tuesday?
  12. Cary67
    Uncle Ukie calling the models home.lol CMC first back
  13. Cary67
    Will board the train 12Z Tues. when WSWs are in place. We still have 36hrs to watch mesoscale models contradict globals and for people who thought they were out of it to gain temporary hope.
  14. Cary67
    Tue night into Wed accum snow event. More than enough model run time to tame this thing.
  15. Cary67
    My guess is amts will generally decrease as we draw close to the event as well as margins will narrow. Ukie still offering a lame way out.
  16. Cary67
    We need Beavis for some perspective
  17. Cary67
    That area and pts north have been favored area this winter.
  18. Cary67
    Look for 0Z GEFS trends towards a dud. Models all over the place. Watch Euro be SE and weak no phase.lol
  19. Cary67
    Too many days..too many ways. Initial call 2.5"
  20. Cary67
    I can cherry pick ensembles to keep this thread going for days
  21. Cary67
    Dealing out false hope is my business
  22. Cary67
    Here it is on one of the Euro ensembles
  23. Cary67
    Uncle Ukie still has your back. This winters trademark has been amped up systems that cut hard.:)
  24. Cary67
    Amts.are absurd but likely to see more accumulating snow for that corridor. North central Wi. from Madison up to Wausau, Green Bay, Rhinelander all above average snow wise. Here a couple rainers to end February then maybe a few slider/coastals for early March. Only 7 more weeks to mid late April and spring. Until then enjoy Thanksgiving weather but with more daylight. .
  25. Cary67
    Good luck to you in South Carolina. You can still track winter storms as a guest to this forum.lol
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