Cary67

Kuchera fluffy amped. 2-4" looks reasonable with someone near Alek receiving 5". Although inexplicably he'll measure 2.7"

Will go on the low end of that for far NW burbs. Another click or two SE with no lake bail out and its 1-2"

Not sure but so far 6Z NAM and other short range guidance SE of GFS also. NAM was correcting NW but was further SE to begin with

6Z GFS back NW a bit

This is usually the timeframe short range models like NAM, RGEM diverge from globals. In this case SE of GFS, 12Z Euro. CMC did shift SE wouldnt be surprised to see readjustment back the other way a bit. NAM is just too volatile to put much credence in. It has had drastic shifts with previous systems right up to go time.

NW fringe of things just a tick or two readjustment SE knocks NW burbs out. Not expecting much unless models come in stronger NW

Nice lake enhancement there

Yeah but think of all the money your saving on sun glasses and sun tan lotion

Expect Euro to cave to other guidance. Metro Chicago going 0 for 4 on waves with exceptions of areas far SE may see some accums. UKMET if verifies will tighten up that band of accums knocking out margins. Will see if the OV pink maps end up verifying to the same degree as our systems this winter.

The last wave being almost a week out. It could end up as eventful as the one coming up Mon -Tue.

Basically the GFS shouldnt run out further than the UKMET of 144hrs

Solid coating here

These posts belong in some classics folder for the Lakes/OV forum. So vintage... never stop posting they bring too much joy.

Always interesting to see how repetitive storm tracks and patterns can be. Our area will be wet but close to rain /snow line again like many systems this winter.

Yeah baby

This time of year arctic air masses bring the sun. Hence not much sun this month

Interesting if that verifies could see some significant systems when most dont want them in March to early April as cold pattern relaxes.

Better with temps not so much overamped storms

Midrange GFS wants to bury us.Euro not so much

At least some ensemble support. Not a bad look at this point

Bring out the needles,bring out the thread

I still think you will get 2-4 weeks of a wintry pattern but that may occur in February or even March/April in some diluted fashion. I am feeling more confident that this winter will grade out as average at best and possibly horrendous at worst. Grades will vary on the forum depending on if their yards got hit when we do shift to that wintry pattern. Unlike the NE that can pile up snow 40-60" in a short period of time the Lakes(outside of LES areas) and OV won't hence the great winter grades should already be off the table. Of course some may say one 20" blizzard makes a great winter. Not me..

"You can be mad as a mad dog about the way things went, you can curse the fates, but when it comes to the end, you just have to let it go," Benjamin Button

Indianapolis trying to score 2 in a row about a month apart

Take the small victories when you can. Just like beating NC A&T or is that AT&T