LOT just pulled the trigger on a WSW for McHenry Co. Maybe a case where extreme SE Mchenry not warranted for snow amts. but lumped in with areas further west.
Skilling looked like he was using the latest NAM runs. Had areas in the NW burbs staying in snow for alot of the event. Rockford, Bevidere,Crystal Lake coming in between 5-6". Will see if this verifies.
Will see if FGEN band stays north or hits our area as depicted earlier. You can usually find some short range model on a particular run that disagrees with prevailing thought. Funny at longer range posters tend to find the model scenarios that optimize snow possibilities whereas at short range the globals plus short range models give us a lot more looks to discount it.
Yeah lived here since 2002 and can't remember any LES events of consequence this far west. Remember you from accuforums back in the day circa 2007/08. That winter was kind to our area.
Elgin and Cary could receive lake enhancement but too far west for LES. Have received some flurries from LES. Think of 294 and east for LES.Still suspect of hi-res models since Euro holding steady further south and has been the most consistent. NAM can be volatile.