Sernest14

Kind of wish this wasn't ending in 2 hours - different type of storm and fun to watch.

Got a little base of sleet for the rest of the freezing rain, should be bad for what surfaces were doing ok

Looks like it'll end really early compared to originally modeled? HRRR and NAM showing sometime between 1-2pm with an isolated shower

dumping sleet at the moment - don't think i've seen it this heavy.

HRRR got uglier though, by a lot

Yeah definitely not good for them, looked to me that RIC metro and points west and north seem to have .15”-.25 cut

I was just about to say we may get out of this lucky haha - looked like less frozen and cutting ice totals on NAM by a bit (at least what was posted in the main forum)

anyone know where to get the sleet maps? trying to see through 15z tomorrow when the freezing rain starts accumulating (~.1" at that point)

Looks to still be the same: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 310 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 VAZ080-513>516-180415- /O.CON.KAKQ.WS.W.0003.210218T0600Z-210219T1200Z/ Dinwiddie-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Including the cities of Reams, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, and Sandston 310 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow and sleet followed by an extended period of freezing rain. Total snow and sleet accumulation of up to one inch and significant ice accumulation of three tenths to one half of an inch. * WHERE...Western Chesterfield, Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights), Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond) and Eastern Henrico Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday.

18z NAM still says >.5" ice

usually only a degree off at most from GA and like 2 from RIC. Where's best place to view reports? I'm seeing like a 3 degree difference for ashland depending on where I check.

HRRR 18Z drops ice down for us to under .25" but really hits us more with sleet at a decent clip 9am -1pm.

temps seem to be busted low (gauging apps/sites we're at 37 with a forecasted high of 39)

There's a few bands - i think it's trending a little drier with us but still most have us between .8" - 1"+ in total precip.

Also that initial heavy thump is happening overnight which will make it worse.

Looks like an inch of sleet followed by .3"-.5"+ ice (some models show more ice but think .3" is the low end)

Also, Northern Tool over by Rooms To Go was where we got ours a few years back. I'd check there too And should have read the other comments first haha

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it's going to be ugly - ground is saturated and loose plus trees are already wet and heavy

how do the winds look?

Wow - still going Saturday 00z Have the freezing rain amounts?

They did get about 4" and .5" ice with this last storm. This doesn't look good.

Ouch!

HRRR looks a little bit more juiced on the southern area at 60 compared to NAM - cold also digs a bit more south and we snow through the run (12z thursday) compared to NAM where we start as sleet/freezing rain.

And DT back with the “no models/data show anything significant for Richmond area”- ukie, cmc, gfs all show something fairly significant along with the rdps. NAM is basically on its own island at this point