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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. NAM qpf pretty similar to the HRRR with the first wave. Just a sharper cutoff to the south. 4-6 for the winchester area.
  2. 12z HRRR is beautiful for the DC area with the first wave. Two distinct camps right now. The Euro and CMC favor central VA. The American models favor DC and west for the highest qpf. Pretty crazy we are 24 hours out and have this much disagreement. But sign me up for what the HRRR is selling.
  3. Agreed. UK is pretty similar to the gfs on the areas it hits. Just less qpf overall.
  4. CMC looks solid for DC going off of this site. Kind of similar to the RGEM out this way. But a little better with the second wave. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
  5. Just a touch more juiced up than the Euro. An inch plus for almost everyone.
  6. Through 75 its beautiful. Looks a lot like the Euro for our area. 84 still snowing. Complete crush job!!
  7. RGEM with the Winchester screwjob in the first wave as well. OKV is the new DCA
  8. Yeah. Its a pretty disappointing screw job for my area in all honesty. Light rates with the first half and a whiff south with the second. It is what it is.
  9. Hagerstown crushed at 60. My area kind of gets screwed with light rates so far this run. 69-72 DC south in the good rates.
  10. Nice hit from 51-54 NOVA/DC. Virtually nothing south of that so far though.
  11. NAM much colder this run. 850 line down to the VA/NC border at 12z Wednesday.
  12. 0z HRRR looks pretty paltry with the first wave. But way out there for that model.
  13. It did move the one inch contour 20 or 30 miles south. But still a great run.
  14. What a weenie run on the 18Z GFS. Ridiculous.
  15. GFS has the storm for midweek next week as well. Pure weenie run coming here.
  16. Northern Shen Valley gets a foot regardless of the model at this point. Big differences NE and SE from there on the models. But regardless of the progression we get hit hard. Good place to be right now.
  17. I may as well add to the weenie imby hype going on in this thread. This one has Winchester bullseye written all over it. In all seriousness whoever to the west gets the goods from both waves will jack. I feel like Woodstock to Hagerstown will end up the winner with this one.
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